In the GEOs Sold by Commodity, Revenue by Commodity, and Financial Highlights Summary Table of release dated August 10, 2021, Silver for Three Months Ended June 30 should read 10,049 (instead of 11,049) and Total for Three Months Ended June 30 should read 22,537 (instead of 23,537).
The updated release reads:
TRIPLE FLAG REPORTS RECORD Q2 2021 CASH FLOWS IN ITS INAUGURAL PUBLIC QUARTERLY RESULTS AND PROVIDES 10-YEAR OUTLOOK
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (“Triple Flag”) (TSX:TFPM, TSX:TFPM.U), an emerging senior gold-focused streaming and royalty company that offers bespoke financing solutions to the metals and mining industry, today announced its results for the second quarter of 2021. All dollar references are in United States dollars.
“In our inaugural quarterly results as a public company, we are pleased to report record Q2 2021 cash flows, following our previous announcement of record quarterly metal sales in Q2 2021,” commented Shaun Usmar, Triple Flag Founder and CEO. “The business continued its track record of strong cash flow growth in Q2 2021, with a 48% increase in both revenue and operating cash flow, and a 49% increase in adjusted EBITDA, each as compared to the same period in 2020. We are also pleased to announce that our Board has declared our first dividend of $0.0475 per common share. This equates to a robust dividend yield of 1.7% on the closing share price on August 9th, directly sharing the benefits of our cash flow with our shareholders. We intend to continue growing the dividend over time as we focus on delivering consistently strong results and returns without compromising our strategy of disciplined and accretive growth through the acquisition of precious metals streams and royalties.
For the first time, we are publishing our five- and ten-year average annual gold equivalent ounces (“GEOs”) outlook, demonstrating that Triple Flag’s portfolio has strong near-term organic growth and a stable, high-quality production profile over the next decade and beyond, with an average portfolio life in excess of twenty years. Having built Triple Flag from the ground up since 2016 with sector-leading growth in GEOs over this period, we are proud to demonstrate the ongoing growth and duration of our existing portfolio by showcasing our expectation of sustainable average production of 105,000 GEOs over the next five years and the next ten years from the existing portfolio. Above and beyond the five-and 10-year production outlook, we believe there is considerable optionality related to potential life of mine extensions, expansions, and exploration from our 15 producing mines and 60 exploration and development assets in the portfolio. This growth outlook does not factor in potential additional high-quality growth through accretive acquisitions that this team has repeatedly demonstrated through our industry-leading transaction track record over the past five years. We see this portfolio as a solid, high-margin, strong-cash-generating foundation from which we will continue to grow net asset value, free cash flow, GEOs, and resources per share, while providing us with the financial strength to return capital to our shareholders through meaningful dividends.”
Q2 2021 Financial Highlights
GEOs Sold by Commodity, Revenue by Commodity, and Financial Highlights Summary Table
($ thousands except GEOs, asset margin, total margin, and Cash cost per GEO) | Three Months Ended June 30 |
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||
2021 |
2020 |
2021 |
2020 |
|
GEOs |
||||
Gold |
11,549 |
9,461 |
20,375 |
14,859 |
Silver |
10,049 |
6,654 |
20,204 |
12,140 |
Other |
939 |
- |
1,672 |
830 |
Total |
22,537 |
16,115 |
42,251 |
27,829 |
Revenue |
||||
Gold |
20,978 |
16,189 |
36,810 |
24,736 |
Silver |
18,254 |
11,386 |
36,472 |
20,070 |
Other |
1,707 |
- |
3,023 |
1,313 |
Total |
40,939 |
27,575 |
76,305 |
46,119 |
Net Earnings (loss) |
18,339 |
9,180 |
27,018 |
(7,305) |
Adjusted Net Earnings (loss)1 |
16,650 |
1,510 |
30,441 |
2,284 |
Operating Cash Flow |
32,754 |
22,112 |
61,563 |
34,417 |
Adjusted EBITDA2 |
34,959 |
23,507 |
65,056 |
38,803 |
Asset margin4 |
91% |
92% |
91% |
92% |
Total margin4 |
85% |
85% |
85% |
84% |
Cash cost per GEO3 |
168 |
139 |
160 |
136 |
Corporate Updates
2021 Guidance and Long-Term Production Outlook
Triple Flag’s portfolio builds on our sector-leading GEOs growth profile since 2017, with a CAGR of 24% through 2020, offering ongoing strong near-term organic growth and a stable, high-quality production profile over the next decade and beyond. Production over the next five years is expected to average 105,000 GEOs per year, a significant increase over current production levels primarily due to continued production growth from Buriticá, Pumpkin Hollow, Gunnison, Dargues, and ATO. Over the next ten years we expect average production of 105,000 GEOs per year, benefiting from mining of the high-grade E22 block cave at Northparkes, which is expected to commence production in 2026. Centerra Gold’s Kemess project and Talon Metal’s Tamarack project are not included in Triple Flag's five-year outlook but are included in the 10-year outlook. Long-term GEOs are based on $1,750/oz gold, $25/oz silver, and $3.00/lb copper. Above and beyond the production outlook, we believe there is considerable optionality related to potential life of mine extensions, expansions and exploration from our 15 producing mines and 60 exploration and development assets in the portfolio, before factoring in likely future accretive transaction that would add to our growth profile. Our outlook on stream and royalty interests is based on assumptions, including the public statements and other disclosures by the third-party owners and operators of the properties on which we have stream and royalty interests (subject to our assessment thereof). For further information, see “Forward-Looking Information” and “Technical and Third-Party Information”, below.
2021 Guidance and Long-Term Production Outlook
|
2021 Guidance |
5-year Outlook Annual Average (2022-2026) |
10-year Outlook Annual Average (2022-2031) |
Gold Equivalent Ounces a b |
83,000 to 87,000 |
105,000 |
105,000 |
Q2 2021 Portfolio Updates
Australia:
Latin America:
North America:
Rest of World
Conference Call Details
Triple Flag has scheduled an investor conference call at 11:00 a.m. Eastern time, on Wednesday, August 11, 2021, to discuss the results reported in today’s earnings announcement. The conference call will be broadcast live via a webcast and can be accessed by visiting the Events and Presentations page on the Company’s website at: tripleflagpm.com. An archived version of the webcast will be available on the website for one month following the webcast.
To register for this conference call, please use this link: http://www.directeventreg.com/registration/event/2865668. After registering, a confirmation will be sent through email, including dial in details and unique conference call codes for entry. Registration is open through the live call. To ensure you are connected for the full call, we suggest registering a day in advance or at a minimum 10 minutes before the start of the call.
Live webcast: |
https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/3313174/E8E72774E84E555F0147239ED51DDAA7 |
About Triple Flag
Triple Flag’s shares are listed on the TSX under TFPM.U (USD listing) and TFPM (CAD listing). On May 26, 2021 Triple Flag closed its IPO, which was the largest TSX-listed mining IPO since 2012 by size and market capitalization, and the largest precious metals IPO globally by market capitalization since 2008. Triple Flag is a gold-focused streaming and royalty company, providing investors exposure to a long-life, diversified and high-quality portfolio of streams and royalties, that generates robust free cash flows. Our business is underpinned by a rigorous focus on asset-quality, optionality, sustainability and risk management. We offer bespoke financing solutions to the metals and mining industry. Our mission is to be a sought-after, long-term funding partner to mining companies throughout the commodity cycle. Since our inception in 2016, we have delivered sector-leading growth through the construction of a diversified portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure primarily to gold and silver in the Americas and Australia. We have 75 assets, including 9 streams and 66 royalties. These investments are tied to mining assets at various stages of the mine life cycle, including 15 producing mines and 60 development and exploration stage projects. References to Triple Flag mean Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries.
Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “targets”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “outlook”, “forecasts”, “projection”, “prospects”, “strategy”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or terminology which states that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might”, “will”, “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Our assessments of, and expectations for, future periods (including, but not limited to, our 2021 guidance and long-term production outlook for GEOs), are considered forward-looking information. In addition, any statements that refer to expectations, intentions, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances contain forward-looking information. Statements containing forward-looking information are not historical facts but instead represent management’s expectations, estimates and projections regarding possible future events or circumstances.
The forward-looking information included in this news release is based on our opinions, estimates and assumptions in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that we currently believe are appropriate and reasonable in the circumstances. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is also based upon the ongoing operation of the properties in which we hold a stream or royalty interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; and the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production. These assumptions include, but are not limited to, the following: assumptions in respect of current and future market conditions and the execution of our business strategies, that operations, or ramp-up where applicable, at properties in which we hold a royalty, stream or other interest, continue without further interruption through the period, and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated, intended or implied. Despite a careful process to prepare and review the forward-looking information, there can be no assurance that the underlying opinions, estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information is also subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to, those set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our May 19, 2021 prospectus. For clarity, mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability and inferred resources are considered too geologically speculative for the application of economic considerations.
Although we have attempted to identify important risk factors that could cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other risk factors not presently known to us or that we presently believe are not material that could also cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking information. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date made. The forward-looking information contained in this news release represents our expectations as of the date of this news release and is subject to change after such date. We disclaim any intention or obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. All of the forward-looking information contained in this news release is expressly qualified by the foregoing cautionary statements.
Technical and Third-Party Information
Triple Flag does not own, develop or mine the underlying properties on which it holds stream or royalty interests. As a royalty or stream holder, Triple Flag has limited, if any, access to properties included in its asset portfolio. As a result Triple Flag is dependent on the owners or operators of the properties and their qualified persons to provide information to Triple Flag or on publicly available information to prepare disclosure pertaining to properties and operations on the properties on which Triple Flag holds stream, royalty or other similar interests. Triple Flag generally has limited or no ability to independently verify such information. Although Triple Flag does not believe that such information is inaccurate or incomplete in any material respect, there can be no assurance that such third-party information is complete or accurate.
Endnotes
Endnote 1
Adjusted net earnings (loss) is a non‑IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings (loss):
Management uses this measure internally to evaluate our underlying operating performance for the reporting periods presented and to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results. Management believes that adjusted net earnings (loss) is a useful measure of our performance because impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/investments/mineral interests, foreign currency translation (gains) losses, increase/decrease in fair value of investments and non-recurring charges (such as IPO readiness costs) do not reflect the underlying operating performance of our core business and are not necessarily indicative of future operating results. The tax effect is also excluded to reconcile the amounts on a post-tax basis, consistent with net earnings. Management’s internal budgets and forecasts and public guidance do not reflect the types of items we adjust for. Consequently, the presentation of adjusted net earnings (loss) enables users to better understand the underlying operating performance of our core business through the eyes of management. Management periodically evaluates the components of adjusted net earnings (loss) based on an internal assessment of performance measures that are useful for evaluating the operating performance of our business and a review of the non-IFRS measures used by industry analysts and other streaming and royalty companies. Adjusted net earnings (loss) is intended to provide additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measures are not necessarily indicative of gross profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following table reconciles adjusted net earnings (loss) to net earnings (loss), the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
Three months ended June 30 |
Six months ended June 30 |
|||
($ thousands, except share and per share information) |
2021 |
2020 |
2021 |
2020 |
Net earnings (loss) |
$18,339 |
$9,180 |
$27,018 |
$(7,305) |
Impairment charges |
- |
- |
- |
7,864 |
Gain on disposal of mineral interests |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Loss on sale of investments |
- |
- |
185 |
- |
Loss on derivatives |
297 |
- |
297 |
- |
Foreign currency translation (gains) losses |
(18) |
5 |
(22) |
25 |
Decrease (increase) in fair value of investments |
(2,595) |
(7,787) |
1,716 |
3,712 |
IPO readiness costs(1) |
- |
- |
670 |
- |
Income tax effect |
627 |
112 |
577 |
(2,012) |
Adjusted net earnings |
$16,650 |
$1,510 |
$30,441 |
$2,284 |
Weighted average shares outstanding |
143,534,434 |
97,915,712 |
139,739,993 |
97,915,712 |
Net earnings (loss) per share |
0.13 |
0.09 |
0.19 |
(0.07) |
Adjusted net earnings per share |
0.12 |
0.02 |
0.22 |
0.02 |
(1) Reflects charges related to a potential U.S. listing that was not pursued. |
Endnote 2
Adjusted EBITDA is a non‑IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings:
Management believes that adjusted EBITDA is a valuable indicator of our ability to generate liquidity by producing operating cash flow to fund working capital needs, service debt obligations, and fund acquisitions. Management uses adjusted EBITDA for this purpose. Adjusted EBITDA is also frequently used by investors and analysts for valuation purposes whereby adjusted EBITDA is multiplied by a factor or ‘‘multiple’’ that is based on an observed or inferred relationship between adjusted EBITDA and market values to determine the approximate total enterprise value of a company.
In addition to excluding income tax expense, finance costs, finance income and depletion and amortization, adjusted EBITDA also removes the effect of impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/investments/mineral interests, foreign currency translation gains/losses, increase/decrease in fair value of investments and non-recurring charges. We believe these items provide a greater level of consistency with the adjusting items included in our adjusted net earnings reconciliation, with the exception that these amounts are adjusted to remove any impact of income tax expense as they do not affect adjusted EBITDA. We believe this additional information will assist analysts, investors and our shareholders to better understand our ability to generate liquidity from operating cash flow, by excluding these amounts from the calculation as they are not indicative of the performance of our core business and not necessarily reflective of the underlying operating results for the periods presented.
Adjusted EBITDA is intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily indicative of operating profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate adjusted EBITDA differently. The following table reconciles adjusted EBITDA to net earnings (loss), the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
Three months ended June 30 |
Six months ended June 30 |
|||
($ thousands) |
2021 |
2020 |
2021 |
2020 |
Net earnings (loss) |
$18,339 |
$9,180 |
$27,018 |
$(7,305) |
Finance costs, net |
2,059 |
2,075 |
4,577 |
4,162 |
Income tax expense |
2,695 |
3,881 |
3,302 |
2,557 |
Depletion and amortization |
14,182 |
16,153 |
27,313 |
27,788 |
Impairment charges |
- |
- |
- |
7,864 |
Gain on disposal of mineral interests |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Loss on sale of investments |
- |
- |
185 |
- |
Loss on derivatives |
297 |
- |
297 |
- |
Foreign currency translation (gain) loss |
(18) |
5 |
(22) |
25 |
Decrease (increase) in fair value of investments |
(2,595) |
(7,787) |
1,716 |
3,712 |
IPO readiness costs(1) |
- |
- |
670 |
- |
Adjusted EBITDA |
$34,959 |
$23,507 |
$65,056 |
$38,803 |
(1) Reflects charges related to a U.S. listing that was not pursued. |
Endnote 3
Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are non-IFRS measures with no standardized meaning under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Cash costs is calculated by starting with total cost of sales, then deducting depletion. Cash costs is then divided by GEOs sold, to arrive at cash costs per GEO. Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are only intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Management uses cash costs and cash costs per GEO to evaluate our ability to generate positive cash flow from its portfolio of assets. Management and certain investors also use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance relative to peers who present this measure on a similar basis. The following table reconciles cash costs and cash costs per GEO to cost of sales, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
Three months ended June 30 |
Six months ended June 30 |
|||
($ thousands, except GEOs and cash costs per GEO) |
2021 |
2020 |
2021 |
2020 |
Cost of sales |
$17,874 |
$18,291 |
$33,883 |
$31,381 |
Less: Depletion |
14,083 |
16,054 |
27,114 |
27,589 |
Cash costs |
3,791 |
2,237 |
6,769 |
3,792 |
GEOs |
22,537 |
16,115 |
42,251 |
27,829 |
Cash costs per GEO |
168 |
139 |
160 |
136 |
Endnote 4
Gross profit margin is an IFRS financial measure which we define as gross profit divided by revenue. Asset margin is a non-IFRS financial measure which we define by taking gross profit and adding back depletion and dividing by revenue. Total margin is a non-IFRS financial measure which we define as adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. We use gross profit margin to assess profitability of our metal sales and use asset margin and total margin in order to evaluate our performance in increasing revenue and containing costs and providing a useful comparison to our peers. Both asset margin and total margin are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The following table reconciles asset margin and total margin to gross profit margin, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
($ thousands except Gross profit margin, |
Three months ended June 30 |
Six months ended June 30 |
||
Asset margin, and Total margin) |
2021 |
2020 |
2021 |
2020 |
Revenue |
$40,939 |
$27,575 |
$76,305 |
$46,119 |
Cost of sales |
17,874 |
18,291 |
33,883 |
31,381 |
Gross profit |
23,065 |
9,284 |
42,422 |
14,738 |
Gross profit margin |
56% |
34% |
56% |
32% |
Gross profit |
$23,065 |
$9,284 |
$42,422 |
$14,738 |
Add: Depletion |
14,083 |
16,054 |
27,114 |
27,589 |
|
37,148 |
25,338 |
69,536 |
42,327 |
Revenue |
40,939 |
27,575 |
76,305 |
46,119 |
Asset margin |
91% |
92% |
91% |
92% |
|
|
|
|
|
Gross profit |
23,065 |
9,284 |
42,422 |
14,738 |
Add: Depletion and amortization |
14,182 |
16,153 |
27,313 |
27,788 |
Less: Sustainability initiatives |
22 |
27 |
354 |
38 |
Less: Business development costs |
219 |
5 |
329 |
19 |
Less: General administration costs |
2,047 |
1,898 |
3,996 |
3,666 |
Adjusted EBITDA |
34,959 |
23,507 |
65,056 |
38,803 |
Revenue |
40,939 |
27,575 |
76,305 |
46,119 |
Total margin |
85% |
85% |
85% |
84% |
a GEOs are based on stream and royalty interests and are calculated by dividing all revenue from such interests by the average gold price during the applicable period.
b 2021E and long-term expected GEOs are based on publicly available forecasts of the owners or operators of our stream and royalty properties. When publicly available forecasts on properties are not available, we obtain internal forecasts from the owners or operators, or use our own best estimate. We conduct our own independent analysis of this information to reflect our expectations based on an operator’s historical performance and track record of replenishing Mineral Reserves and the operator’s publicly disclosed guidance on future production, the conversion of mineral resources to mineral reserves, drill results, our view on opportunities for mine plan optimization and other factors. In estimating GEOs for 2021E, we used commodity prices of $1,800/oz gold, $25.00/oz silver, and $3.00/lb copper for the remainder of 2021. In estimating 5- and 10-year average GEOs, we used commodity prices of $1,750/oz gold, $25.00/oz silver, and $3.00/lb copper.
c Triple Flag’s royalty relates to Talon Metals Corp.’s (“Talon”) interest in the Tamarack project is assumed to reach 60% after full earn-in by Talon. Talon’s interest is currently at 17.6%. Under the terms of the royalty agreement, Triple Flag has a put right pursuant to which Triple Flag may cause Talon to repurchase the entire royalty for $8.6 million. If Triple Flag does not exercise the put right, Talon has a one-time option to buy down the NSR royalty to 1.85% for $4.5 million. If Talon’s interest in the project decreases below 10%, its interest is converted into a 1.0% NSR royalty which is automatically assigned to Triple Flag.
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