Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (with its subsidiaries, “Triple Flag” or the “Company”) (TSX: TFPM, NYSE: TFPM) announced its results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2022 and declared a dividend of US$0.05 per common share to be paid on March 15, 2023. All amounts are expressed in US dollars unless otherwise indicated.
“2022 was a year of solid performance and transformation for Triple Flag – our first full year as a publicly listed company,” commented Shaun Usmar, Founder and CEO. “We delivered our sixth consecutive annual GEOs sales record (84.6 koz), achieved a new quarterly GEOs sales record (25.4 koz) during the fourth quarter, listed on the NYSE, built upon our top-tier ESG performance, and announced the largest transaction since our inception with the acquisition of Maverix Metals Inc. for $606 million. The acquisition was a key highlight for the year, creating the leading gold-focused, emerging senior streaming and royalty company. Already the combined company has enjoyed materially increased trading liquidity and we are well advanced on integration and delivering the identified $7 million per annum in synergies. During the year, Triple Flag received its inaugural Sustainalytics score that ranked us 4th of 114 companies across the global precious metals industry, and was accredited as a “Great Place to Work” in Canada, showcasing important elements of our pragmatic commitment to excellence in ESG.”
“We enter 2023 as the fourth-largest gold-focused streaming and royalty company, with an enhanced portfolio, robust growth outlook, materially increased trading liquidity, leading dividend yield, low leverage, and over $600 million in available capital to deploy on new deals amidst a busy pipeline. I’m excited about the possibilities our enhanced platform offers our stakeholders as we to continue our pursuit in growing value per share.”
Record Full Year 2022 and Q4 2022 Financial Highlights
2022 |
Q4 2022 |
|||||||
vs |
vs |
|||||||
FY2022 |
2021 |
Q4 2022 |
Q4 2021 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Revenue |
$151.9 million |
+1% |
$43.9 million |
+19% |
||||
Gold Equivalent Ounces (“GEOs”)1 |
84,571 |
+1% |
25,428 |
+23% |
||||
Operating Cash Flow |
$118.4 million |
-1% |
$36.7 million |
+27% |
||||
Net Earnings |
$55.1 million ($0.35/share) |
+21% |
$15.5 million ($0.10/share) |
+16% |
||||
Adjusted Net Earnings2 |
$61.8 million ($0.40/share) |
+7% |
$18.3 million ($0.12/share) |
+36% |
||||
Adjusted EBITDA3 |
$117.7 million |
-5% |
$33.0 million |
+14% |
||||
Asset Margin4 |
91% |
nil |
91% |
Nil |
||||
Cash Cost per GEO5 |
$165 |
+2% |
$157 |
-1% |
Building the Next Senior Streamer
Disciplined Growth and Gold Focused
Diversified, High-quality Portfolio and Embedded Growth
Robust Cash Flow and Strong Balance Sheet
Superior ESG Practices are Core
GEOs Sold by Commodity, Revenue by Commodity, and Financial Highlights Summary Table
Three Months Ended December 31 |
Year Ended December 31 |
|||||||
($ thousands except GEOs, Asset Margin,
|
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
GEOs1 |
|
|
||||||
Gold |
11,199 |
10,614 |
44,786 |
41,143 |
||||
Silver |
12,684 |
8,586 |
34,052 |
38,229 |
||||
Other |
1,545 |
1,405 |
5,733 |
4,230 |
||||
Total |
25,428 |
20,605 |
84,571 |
83,602 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Revenue |
|
|
|
|
||||
Gold |
19,328 |
19,054 |
80,533 |
74,035 |
||||
Silver |
21,892 |
15,414 |
61,051 |
68,777 |
||||
Other |
2,666 |
2,522 |
10,301 |
7,609 |
||||
Total |
43,886 |
36,990 |
151,885 |
150,421 |
||||
Net Earnings |
15,460 |
13,381 |
55,086 |
45,527 |
||||
Net Earnings per Share |
0.10 |
0.09 |
0.35 |
0.31 |
||||
Adjusted Net Earnings2 |
18,265 |
13,409 |
61,848 |
57,563 |
||||
Adjusted Net Earnings per Share2 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.40 |
0.39 |
||||
Operating Cash Flow |
36,721 |
28,997 |
118,376 |
120,015 |
||||
Operating Cash Flow per Share |
0.24 |
0.19 |
0.76 |
0.81 |
||||
Adjusted EBITDA3 |
33,012 |
28,880 |
117,667 |
123,485 |
||||
Asset Margin4 |
91% |
91% |
91% |
91% |
||||
Cash Costs per GEO5 |
157 |
159 |
165 |
161 |
Corporate Updates
2023 Guidance
In 2023, we expect attributable royalty income and stream sales to total 100,000 to 115,000 GEOs. The 2023 guidance is based on public forecasts and other disclosure by the owners and operators of our assets and our assessment thereof. While achieving record GEOs sales in 2022, our portfolio was impacted by delivery timing and the gold/silver ratio. The 2023 guidance assumes a continuation of similar lags, particularly from assets that are ramping or starting up new capacity, a persistence of a higher than historical average gold/silver ratio, and certain allowances where appropriate to account for recent operational performance. Of note:
2023 Guidance1 |
||||
GEOs Sales |
100,000 to 115,000 GEOs |
|||
Depletion |
$65 million to $71 million |
|||
General administration costs |
Cash G&A: $16 million to $17 million Non-Cash G&A: ~$5 million |
|||
Australian Cash Tax Rate2 |
~25% |
1 |
Assumed commodity prices of $1,850/oz gold, $22.00/oz silver, $4.00/lb copper and $100/carat for diamonds for the rest of the year. |
|
2 |
Australian Cash Taxes are payable for Triple Flag’s Australian royalty interests, specifically Fosterville, Beta Hunt, Dargues, Henty, Mt Carlton and Stawell |
Long-Term Production Outlook Reaffirmed
Triple Flag’s long-term production outlook builds on our sector-leading GEOs growth profile since 2017, with a CAGR of 21% through 2022. GEOs sales over the five-year period ending in 2028 are expected to average +140,000 GEOs per year, a significant increase over current levels primarily due to:
The majority of the production expected over the five-year outlook is derived from mines that are currently in production and supported by Mineral Reserve estimates. Above and beyond the current outlook, exists further optionality associated with development-stage projects that may be advanced to production during the period. The long-term production outlook requires minimal capital expenditures by the asset operators, and a number of the development projects have been permitted, providing a low-risk outlook. The long-term production outlook requires no further funding from Triple Flag.
Q4 2022 Portfolio Updates
Australia:
Latin America:
North America:
Rest of World:
Conference Call Details
Triple Flag has scheduled an investor conference call at 10:00 a.m. ET (7:00 a.m. PT) on Wednesday, February 22, 2023, to discuss the results reported in today’s earnings announcement. The conference call will be broadcast live via a webcast and can be accessed by visiting the Events and Presentations page on the Company’s website at: www.tripleflagpm.com. An archived version of the webcast will be available on the website for one month following the webcast.
Live Webcast: |
||||
Dial-In Details:
|
Toll-Free (U.S. & Canada): +1 (888) 330-2384 International: +1 (647) 800-3739 Conference ID: 4548984 |
|||
Replay (Until March 8):
|
Toll-Free (U.S. & Canada): +1 (800) 770-2030 International: +1 (647) 362-9199 Conference ID: 4548984 |
About Triple Flag
Triple Flag is a pure play, gold-focused, emerging senior streaming and royalty company. We offer bespoke financing solutions to the metals and mining industry with exposure primarily to gold and silver in the Americas and Australia, with a total of 229 assets, including 15 streams and 214 royalties. These investments are tied to mining assets at various stages of the mine life cycle, including 29 producing mines and 200 development and exploration stage projects. Triple Flag is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker “TFPM”.
Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking information”). Forward-looking information may be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “targets”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “outlook”, “forecasts”, “projection”, “prospects”, “strategy”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or terminology which states that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might”, “will”, “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking information in this news release include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s annual and five-year guidance, operational and corporate developments for the Company, developments in respect of the Company’s portfolio of royalties and streams and those developments at certain of the mines, projects or properties that underlie the Company’s interest, strengths, characteristics and expected benefits and synergies of the acquisition of Maverix Metals Inc., and our assessments of, and expectations for, future periods (including, but not limited to, the long-term production outlook for GEOs). In addition, any statements that refer to expectations, intentions, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances contain forward-looking information. Statements containing forward-looking information are not historical facts but instead represent management’s expectations, estimates and projections regarding possible future events or circumstances.
The forward-looking information included in this news release is based on our opinions, estimates and assumptions in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, our assumptions regarding the acquisition of Maverix Metals Inc. (including our ability to derive the anticipated benefits therefrom), as well as other factors that we currently believe are appropriate and reasonable in the circumstances. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is also based upon a number of assumptions, including the ongoing operation of the properties in which we hold a stream or royalty interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; and the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production. These assumptions include, but are not limited to, the following: assumptions in respect of current and future market conditions and the execution of our business strategies, that operations, or ramp-up where applicable, at properties in which we hold a royalty, stream or other interest, continue without further interruption through the period, and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated, intended or implied. Despite a careful process to prepare and review the forward-looking information, there can be no assurance that the underlying opinions, estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information is also subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to, those set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our most recently filed annual information form which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. For clarity, mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability and inferred resources are considered too geologically speculative for the application of economic considerations.
Although we have attempted to identify important risk factors that could cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other risk factors not presently known to us or that we presently believe are not material that could also cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking information. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date made. The forward-looking information contained in this news release represents our expectations as of the date of this news release and is subject to change after such date. We disclaim any intention or obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. All of the forward-looking information contained in this news release is expressly qualified by the foregoing cautionary statements.
Cautionary Statement to U.S. Investors
Information contained or referenced in this press release or in the documents referenced herein concerning the properties, technical information and operations of Triple Flag has been prepared in accordance with requirements and standards under Canadian securities laws, which differ from the requirements of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) under subpart 1300 of Regulation S-K (“S-K 1300”). Because the Company is eligible for the Multijurisdictional Disclosure System adopted by the SEC and Canadian Securities Administrators, Triple Flag is not required to present disclosure regarding its mineral properties in compliance with S-K 1300. Accordingly, certain information contained in this press release may not be comparable to similar information made public by US companies subject to reporting and disclosure requirements of the SEC.
Technical and Third-Party Information:
Triple Flag does not own, develop or mine the underlying properties on which it holds stream or royalty interests. As a royalty or stream holder, Triple Flag has limited, if any, access to properties included in its asset portfolio. As a result, Triple Flag is dependent on the owners or operators of the properties and their qualified persons to provide information to Triple Flag and on publicly available information to prepare disclosure pertaining to properties and operations on the properties on which Triple Flag holds stream, royalty or other similar interests. Triple Flag generally has limited or no ability to independently verify such information. Although Triple Flag does not believe that such information is inaccurate or incomplete in any material respect, there can be no assurance that such third-party information is complete or accurate.
Endnotes
Endnote 1: Gold Equivalent Ounces (“GEOs”)
GEOs are a non-IFRS measure that is based on stream and royalty interests and calculated on a quarterly basis by dividing all revenue from such interests for the quarter by the average gold price during such quarter. The gold price is determined based on the LBMA PM fix. For periods longer than one quarter, GEOs are summed for each quarter in the period. Management uses this measure internally to evaluate our underlying operating performance across our stream and royalty portfolio for the reporting periods presented and to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results. GEOs are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measures are not necessarily indicative of gross profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following table reconciles GEOs to revenue, the most directly comparable IFRS measure.
|
2022 |
|||||||||
($ thousands, except average gold price and GEOs information) |
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
Q1 |
Year ended
|
|||||
Revenue |
43,886 |
33,754 |
36,490 |
37,755 |
|
|||||
Average gold price per ounce |
1,726 |
1,729 |
1,871 |
1,877 |
|
|||||
GEOs |
25,428 |
19,523 |
19,507 |
20,113 |
84,571 |
|
2021 |
|||||||||
($ thousands, except average gold price and GEOs information) |
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
Q1 |
Year ended
|
|||||
Revenue |
36,990 |
37,126 |
40,939 |
35,366 |
|
|||||
Average gold price per ounce |
1,795 |
1,790 |
1,816 |
1,794 |
|
|||||
GEOs |
20,605 |
20,746 |
22,537 |
19,714 |
83,602 |
Endnote 2: Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) and Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) per Share
Adjusted net earnings (loss) is a non‑IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings (loss):
Management uses this measure internally to evaluate our underlying operating performance for the reporting periods presented and to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results. Management believes that adjusted net earnings (loss) is a useful measure of our performance because impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/mineral interests, foreign currency translation gains/losses, increase/decrease in fair value of financial assets, effects of the non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests and non-recurring charges (such as IPO readiness costs) do not reflect the underlying operating performance of our core business and are not necessarily indicative of future operating results. The tax effect is also excluded to reconcile the amounts on a post-tax basis, consistent with net earnings. Management’s internal budgets and forecasts and public guidance do not reflect the types of items we adjust for. Consequently, the presentation of adjusted net earnings (loss) enables users to better understand the underlying operating performance of our core business through the eyes of management. Management periodically evaluates the components of adjusted net earnings based on an internal assessment of performance measures that are useful for evaluating the operating performance of our business and a review of the non-IFRS measures used by industry analysts and other streaming and royalty companies. Adjusted net earnings (loss) is intended to provide additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measures are not necessarily indicative of gross profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following table reconciles adjusted net earnings to net earnings, the most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Net Earnings
($ thousands, except share and |
Three months ended
|
Year ended
|
||||||
per share information) |
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
Net earnings |
$15,460 |
$13,381 |
$55,086 |
$45,527 |
||||
Impairment charges |
3,600 |
- |
3,600 |
- |
||||
Gain on disposal of mineral interests |
- |
- |
(2,099) |
- |
||||
Loss on derivatives |
- |
- |
- |
297 |
||||
Foreign currency translation losses |
63 |
1 |
352 |
25 |
||||
(Increase) decrease in fair value of financial assets |
(733) |
(60) |
4,066 |
10,786 |
||||
Non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests |
836 |
- |
836 |
- |
||||
IPO readiness costs1 |
- |
- |
- |
670 |
||||
Income tax effect |
(961) |
87 |
7 |
258 |
||||
Adjusted net earnings |
$18,265 |
$13,409 |
$61,848 |
$57,563 |
||||
Weighted average shares outstanding - basic |
155,793,370 |
156,158,978 |
155,950,659 |
148,025,464 |
||||
Net earnings per share |
$0.10 |
$0.09 |
$0.35 |
$0.31 |
||||
Adjusted net earnings per share |
$0.12 |
$0.09 |
$0.40 |
$0.39 |
1. |
Reflects charges related to a potential U.S. listing that was not pursued. |
Endnote 3: Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow is a non-IFRS measure that deducts acquisition of other assets (excluding acquisition of financial assets or mineral interests) from operating cash flow. Management believes this to be a useful indicator of our ability to operate without reliance on additional borrowing or usage of existing cash. Free cash flow is intended to provide additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measure is not necessarily indicative of operating profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate this measure differently. The following table reconciles free cash flow to operating cash flow, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
|
Three months ended
|
Year ended
|
||||||
($ thousands) |
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
Operating cash flow |
$36,721 |
$28,997 |
$118,376 |
$120,015 |
||||
Acquisition of other assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||
Free cash flow |
$36,721 |
$28,997 |
$118,376 |
$120,015 |
Endnote 4: Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is a non‑IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings:
Management believes that adjusted EBITDA is a valuable indicator of our ability to generate liquidity by producing operating cash flow to fund working capital needs, service debt obligations and fund acquisitions. Management uses adjusted EBITDA for this purpose. Adjusted EBITDA is also frequently used by investors and analysts for valuation purposes whereby adjusted EBITDA is multiplied by a factor or ‘‘multiple’’ that is based on an observed or inferred relationship between adjusted EBITDA and market values to determine the approximate total enterprise value of a company.
In addition to excluding income tax expense, finance costs, net and depletion and amortization, adjusted EBITDA also removes the effect of impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/mineral interests, foreign currency translation gains/losses, increase/decrease in fair value of assets/investments and non-recurring charges. We believe these items provide a greater level of consistency with the adjusting items included in our adjusted net earnings reconciliation, with the exception that these amounts are adjusted to remove any impact of income tax expense as they do not affect adjusted EBITDA. We believe this additional information will assist analysts, investors and our shareholders to better understand our ability to generate liquidity from operating cash flow, by excluding these amounts from the calculation as they are not indicative of the performance of our core business and not necessarily reflective of the underlying operating results for the periods presented.
Adjusted EBITDA is intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily indicative of operating profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate adjusted EBITDA differently. The following table reconciles adjusted EBITDA to net earnings, the most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted EBITDA
|
Three months ended
|
Year ended
|
||||||
($ thousands) |
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
Net earnings |
$15,460 |
$13,381 |
$55,086 |
$45,527 |
||||
Finance costs, net |
172 |
602 |
1,413 |
5,673 |
||||
Income tax (recovery) expense |
(247) |
1,800 |
4,789 |
6,436 |
||||
Depletion and amortization |
14,697 |
13,156 |
50,460 |
54,071 |
||||
Impairment charges |
3,600 |
- |
3,600 |
- |
||||
Gain on disposal of mineral interests |
- |
- |
(2,099) |
- |
||||
Loss on derivatives |
- |
- |
- |
297 |
||||
Foreign currency translation loss |
63 |
1 |
352 |
25 |
||||
(Increase) decrease in fair value of investments |
(378) |
(60) |
4,636 |
10,786 |
||||
Increase in fair value of prepaid gold interest |
(355) |
- |
(570) |
- |
||||
IPO readiness costs1 |
- |
- |
- |
670 |
||||
Adjusted EBITDA |
$33,012 |
$28,880 |
$117,667 |
$123,485 |
1. |
Reflects charges related to a potential U.S. listing that was not pursued. |
Endnote 5: Gross Profit Margin and Asset Margin
Gross profit margin is an IFRS financial measure which we define as gross profit divided by revenue. Asset margin is a non-IFRS financial measure which we define by taking gross profit and adding back depletion and non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests and dividing by revenue. We use gross profit margin to assess profitability of our metal sales and use asset margin to evaluate our performance in increasing revenue and containing costs and providing a useful comparison to our peers. Asset margin is intended to provide additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The following table reconciles asset margin to gross profit margin, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
($ thousands except Gross profit |
Three months ended
|
Year ended
|
||||||
margin and Asset margin) |
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
Revenue |
$43,886 |
$36,990 |
$151,885 |
$150,421 |
||||
Cost of sales |
19,428 |
16,339 |
64,881 |
67,168 |
||||
Gross profit |
24,458 |
20,651 |
87,004 |
83,253 |
||||
Gross profit margin |
56% |
56% |
57% |
55% |
||||
Gross profit |
$24,458 |
$20,651 |
$87,004 |
$83,253 |
||||
Add: Depletion |
14,604 |
13,056 |
50,085 |
53,672 |
||||
Add: Non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests |
836 |
- |
836 |
- |
||||
|
39,898 |
33,707 |
137,925 |
136,925 |
||||
Revenue |
43,886 |
36,990 |
151,885 |
150,421 |
||||
Asset margin |
91% |
91% |
91% |
91% |
Endnote 6: Cash Costs and Cash Costs per GEO
Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are non-IFRS measures with no standardized meaning under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Cash costs are calculated by starting with total cost of sales, then deducting depletion and non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests. Cash costs are then divided by GEOs sold, to arrive at cash costs per GEO. Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are only intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and should not be considered in isolation or as substitutes for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Management uses cash costs and cash costs per GEO to evaluate our ability to generate positive cash flow from our portfolio of assets. Management and certain investors also use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance relative to peers who present this measure on a similar basis. The following table reconciles cash costs and cash costs per GEO to cost of sales, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:
($ thousands, except GEOs |
Three months ended
|
Year ended
|
||||||
and cash costs per GEO) |
2022 |
2021 |
2022 |
2021 |
||||
Cost of sales |
$19,428 |
$16,339 |
$64,881 |
$67,168 |
||||
Less: Depletion |
14,604 |
13,056 |
50,085 |
53,672 |
||||
Less: Non-cash cost of sales related to prepaid gold interests |
836 |
- |
836 |
- |
||||
Cash costs |
3,988 |
3,283 |
13,960 |
13,496 |
||||
GEOs |
25,428 |
20,605 |
84,571 |
83,602 |
||||
Cash costs per GEO |
157 |
159 |
165 |
161 |
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