One free weekend last May, Pam, Micah, and I decided to take a ride to Bologna, in Emilia-Romagna, a mere three hours by car from our home in Il Piemonte.Friends had told me that Bolognese cuisine is beyond compare, but I wasn't all that excited. Yes, I love Parmigiano Reggiano, Grana Padana (another hard cheese), and balsamic vinegar, all from that part of Italy.But Bologna is also home to the ol...Read More
Our specialty is forecasting. We use multiple branches of science in our predictive analytic models including complexity theory, behavioral psychology, Bayes Theorem, neural networks (a form of artificial intelligence or AI), inference, subject matter expertise and good old-fashioned intuition to arrive at the market and geopolitical predictions we offer our readers.Our track record speaks for its...Read More
Last spring, I thought the tech/AI bubble was bursting.That was wrong, or early. Same thing really.I suggested increasing exposure to precious metals and emerging markets.It's worked out well so far. Hard assets and EMs have outperformed significantly.But now a tech crash could once again be on the table. And it threatens to drag everything down with it. For a while at least.Let's dig into why sof...Read More
Silver is known as "poor man's gold". A better name would be "everyman's gold".But the name stuck, so let's embrace it.Today we're going to look at what could be called "poor man's silver".Copper.All over the world, people are stockpiling copper bars. The screenshot below is from Chinese social media app Rednote:Source: AFRThere are many videos on these platforms encouraging people to buy copper b...Read More
After a major correction on Friday, gold and silver are dipping again.As I write, silver is trading at around $81/oz and gold at $4,708. Both are still trading above their Friday lows, which is noteworthy.And to keep things in perspective, silver is now trading at levels first reached on... January 9th, 2026. And gold is trading at levels last seen on... January 20th, 2026.Clearly, the bull market...Read More