Aluminium prices plunge as China ramps up coal production

By Kitco News / November 04, 2021 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

(Updates throughout, recasts)

LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Aluminium prices fell sharply on Thursday as the biggest producer China said its coal output had shot up and would continue to rise, helping to ease a power crisis that has forced smelters to produce less metal.

Benchmark aluminium on the LME was down 3.3% at $2,568.50 a tonne at 1604 GMT after touching $2,552, its lowest since Aug. 20.

Prices have tumbled 20% from a 13-year high of $3,229 a tonne in mid-October. Chinese coal prices peaked around the same time and have since fallen by around 50%.

“Firing up the smelters!!" said a trader in London, referring to China's coal output.

However, China is still short of energy and there is no guarantee that smelters will be first in line for power, said independent analyst Robin Bhar, adding that the market was still undersupplied and prices were unlikely to fall far.

CHINA COAL: China's daily coal output hit 11.2 million tonnes on Nov. 3, near a record for the year and up by around 1 million tonnes from early October amid a raft of measures to ramp up production, the country's state planner said.

It also said coal inventories had grown sharply and output would likely continue to increase, perhaps above 12 million tonnes a day.

POLL: Analysts polled by Reuters last month said they expected the roughly 65 million tonne a year aluminium market to be undersupplied by 893,000 tonnes in 2021 and 396,000 in 2022.

They predicted LME cash aluminium would average $2,695 a tonne next year.

RUSSIA EXPORTS: Expectations that Russia will remove taxes on aluminium exports and boost global supplies have triggered an inventory sell-off, slashing prices in the physical market in Europe and the United States.

METALS PRICES: LME copper was down 0.4% at $9,417.50 a tonne, zinc was down 2.2% at $3,233, nickel fell 0.5% to $19,075, lead lost 1.6% to $2,336.50 and tin was down 1.7% at $36,480.

Reporting by Peter Hobson; Additional reporting by Mai Nguyen in Hanoi; Editing by Edmund Blair, David Clarke and Shailesh Kuber

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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