CORRECTED (OFFICIAL)-UPDATE 1-New Zealand housing market continues recovery in January but headwinds loom

By Kitco News / February 14, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

(Corrects to show reversal from 19 months of falling volumes, not seven)

* House prices rise 7 pct annually in Jan - REINZ

* Sales volumes rise for first time in 19 months

* Underscores modest post-election recovery though headwinds loom


By Charlotte Greenfield

WELLINGTON, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The New Zealand housing market posted modest price growth in January and sales volumes picked up, snapping 19 months of falls, but policy changes could mean only a slow recovery.

Seasonally adjusted median house prices rose 7.0 percent since January 2017, the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) said on Thursday. Prices edged up 0.6 percent on a monthly basis.

Sales volumes grew for the first time since June 2016 for an annual rise of 2.7 percent.

"In short, housing market activity is well off its lows, suggesting house price inflation has likely also found a floor but the market remains much cooler than it has been," said Sharon Zollner, chief economist at ANZ Bank.

The market had tapered off from its double-digit growth around the middle of 2017 as investors were spooked by a the length of time it took to form a coalition government following last year's elections.

Prices had started to pick back up in November and January saw some added support from the central bank's decision to wind back some of its lending restrictions.

"The general sense from January housing market data is one of a market that is only gradually recovering," said Jeremy Couchman, Kiwibank senior economist.

The outlook for the rest of the year was not quite as rosy.

The new Labour-led government planned to introduce a number of restrictions including a ban on most foreign homebuyers, and widened taxes on investments, which could see the prices relatively flat over 2018, economists said.

"In our view, the market is unlikely to take off again due to affordability constraints...and new Government policies," Zollner said.



(Reporting by Charlotte Greenfield; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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