Vladimir Putin's once-ironclad grip on Russia has been badly undermined by his ill-conceived and mismanaged invasion of Ukraine.
He was embarrassed badly by a renegade group of mercenaries who marched on Moscow, and the guy who led the attempted coup has yet to face any real consequences.
A Russian submarine commander was gunned down as he jogged through a park in a clear-cut case of retaliatory assassination.
Russia's economy is in a downward spiral.
Turkey has finally green-lit Sweden to join NATO along with Finland.
And the Ukrainian resistance chips away at Russia's front line every day, clawing back occupied territory mile by mile.
That effort will be further accelerated by the cluster bombs President Biden agreed to supply to Ukraine earlier this week.
Obviously, this war is still not over, and there's no telling when it will end.
We still don't know the depths to which a desperate Putin will sink to salvage some small Pyrrhic victory from its bloody depths (or if he even can).
But we do know that no matter how this plays out, Russia won't win.
It's already lost badly.