FOREX-Dollar cools despite rising bond yields, hits 15-month low vs yen

By Kitco News / February 15, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* Dollar hits 15-month low against yen

* 10-year Treasury yields hit four-year high

* Worries over U.S. budget, current account deficits


(Updates quotes, news, table and prices)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The dollar fell across the board on Thursday, hitting a fresh 15-month low against the yen late in the session, as negative sentiment about the U.S. currency outweighed a rise in 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in four years.

Analysts gave various explanations for the dollar's broad weakness, which came as the yield on the benchmark U.S. government bond neared 3 percent, and as stock markets and commodities rose. But most agreed it was a long-term trend. "Forex markets rotate from theme to theme all the time. The theme right now is global growth and strong global growth has historically pushed the dollar lower," said Greg Anderson, global head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets in New York.

The dollar plays a key role in funding global growth. When companies borrow dollars to fund investments outside of the United States, the supply of dollars increases. As the funds are invested, the primary foreign exchange transaction is the sale of the dollar in exchange for local currency. The increased supply, then sale pushes the price of the greenback lower.

The dollar had briefly jumped on Wednesday after data showed U.S. inflation was stronger than expected in January, bolstering expectations that the Federal Reserve could increase interest rates as many as four times this year.

But it quickly turned lower, eventually posting its worst daily performance in three weeks against a basket of major rivals . It added to those losses on Thursday, with the dollar index hitting a three-week low of 88.546.

Further evidence of rising inflation came in a report on Thursday, which showed U.S. producer prices accelerated in January, boosted by strong gains in the cost of gasoline and healthcare. There was no significant move in the dollar on the news.

Some analysts suggested mounting worries over the deficit in the United States - which is projected to balloon to near $1 trillion in 2019 amid a government spending splurge and large corporate tax cuts - as a reason for dollar weakness.

"I do hear worry from foreign investors that the U.S. is out of control fiscally. The world doesn't need a safe-haven (currency) at the moment because we have strong growth. But to the extent that we might need one in the future, the U.S. dollar is a less-safe safe haven," said Anderson.

Against the yen , the dollar skidded as much as 0.9 percent from Wednesday's close to 106.03 yen, its lowest since November 2016.

The euro climbed back above $1.251 for the first time in two weeks, trading up almost half a percent from its last close. It was last at $1.250.

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Currency bid prices at 3:43PM (2043 GMT)DescriptionRIC Last U.S. ClosePct Change YTD Pct High BidLow Bid

Previous Change

Session Euro/DollarEUR=$1.2507$1.2448 +0.47% +4.26%+1.2510 +1.2449Dollar/Yen JPY=106.0400 107.0000-0.90% -5.88%+107.0200 +106.0500Euro/Yen EURJPY= 132.64 133.22-0.44% -1.88%+133.2900 +132.5300Dollar/Swiss CHF=0.9212 0.9289-0.83% -5.45%+0.9294 +0.9212Sterling/DollarGBP=1.4099 1.3996+0.74% +4.34%+1.4102 +1.3991Dollar/CanadianCAD=1.2479 1.2488-0.07% -0.78%+1.2537 +1.2465Australian/DollAUD=0.7942 0.7923+0.24% +1.81%+0.7966 +0.7893ar Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1520 1.1568-0.41% -1.45%+1.1575 +1.1520Euro/SterlingEURGBP= 0.8868 0.8894-0.29% -0.17%+0.8902 +0.8858NZ Dollar/DolarNZD=0.7408 0.7368+0.54% +4.54%+0.7410 +0.7364Dollar/NorwayNOK=7.7590 7.7955-0.47% -5.46%+7.8168 +7.7568Euro/NorwayEURNOK= 9.7062 9.7090-0.03% -1.45%+9.7575 +9.6828Dollar/SwedenSEK=7.9249 7.9527+0.08% -3.37%+7.9736 +7.9146Euro/SwedenEURSEK= 9.9125 9.9042+0.08% +0.75%+9.9495 +9.8922



(Reporting by Kate Duguid and Jemima Kelly; Editing by Meredith Mazzilli and Diane Craft)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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