FOREX-Dollar near three-year low, heads for worst run since 2015

By Kitco News / January 19, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* Dollar pressured by U.S. government shutdown risk

* Euro near three-year high, yen near four-month high vs dollar

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2017 - By Jemima Kelly

LONDON, Jan 19 (Reuters) - The dollar laboured near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, heading for a fifth week of falls that would be its longest losing streak since May 2015, as worries about a possible U.S. government shutdown weighed.

The U.S. currency slipped to its lowest since December 2014 this week, with investors selling it on the view that other central banks will join the Federal Reserve in raising interest rates, after years of ultra-loose policy adopted to combat the 2008 global financial crisis and subsequent recessions.

It was slightly off Thursday's lows on Friday but was nevertheless down 0.1 percent on the day against its basket of six major rivals .

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill on Thursday to fund government operations through to Feb. 16 and avoid agency shutdowns this weekend when existing allocations expire. The bill has yet to be approved by the Senate, where it faces an uncertain future. "(This) is not having a major impact... because we have had lots of threats of shutdown in our lives and (this) would need to turn into something much more significant to have a big impact," said Kit Juckes, Societe Generale's chief macro strategist in London.

The prospect of Senate approval has been complicated by President Donald Trump saying that an extension of funding for the children's health insurance programme, a Democratic priority, should not be included. The euro edged up 0.2 percent to $1.2257, near a three-year high of $1.2323 touched on Wednesday. Having advanced more than half a percent this week, the common currency looks set to post a fifth consecutive week of gains, with traders now focused on next Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.

The dollar slipped by 0.4 percent to 110.60 yen , with its rebound from Wednesday's four-month low of 110.19 already fading despite a rise in U.S. debt yields.

A tiny reduction in the Bank of Japan's bond buying this month was enough to spark speculation about possible modification of policy, even though many market players think any move will be many months away. "Markets are increasingly sensitive to the prospect of a less-dovish BOJ, which is putting pressure on dollar/yen," analysts at UBS Wealth Management said in a note. They added that they will be looking to the BOJ's policy meeting next week to gain more clarity on the central bank's stance.

"For now, we do not think the BOJ has any urgency to shift its yield curve control regime," they added.

Another underlying factor behind the dollar's weakness has been global investors, including sovereign wealth funds and central banks, diversifying their holdings by switching more funds into other currencies.


(Reporting by Jemima Kelly with additional reporting by Hideyuki Sano in Tokyo; Editing by Mark Heinrich)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Recent News

Monetary-driven precious metals outperform major base metals

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks hit by plunging equities markets

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks down as metal and equities momentum fades

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Another Kazatomprom guidance announcement shakes uranium price

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Major monetary drivers still supporting gold

August 26, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com
See all >
Share to Youtube Share to Facebook Facebook Share to Linkedin Share to Twitter Twitter Share to Tiktok