FOREX-Dollar stung by Mnuchin comments, euro awaits ECB's currency views

By Kitco News / January 24, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* Dollar index struggles at 3-year lows

* Mnuchin comments welcoming weaker dollar takes heavy toll

* Already battered dollar seen entering new bear phase

* Focus on ECB and its views on rapidly appreciating euro


By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The dollar wallowed near three-year lows against its peers on Thursday after caving on comments by U.S. Treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin that he welcomed a weaker currency, while the euro steadied ahead of the European Central Bank's policy decision.

The single currency took a breather from an overnight rally, easing0.1 percent to $1.2396 . It had soared 0.9 percent to $1.2415 on Wednesday, its highest since December 2014.

The dollar slumped after Mnuchin told the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday that "obviously a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade and opportunities." His comments were seen by markets as a departure from traditional U.S. currency policy. The greenback had already been on the defensive on trade protectionism worries fanned by U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to impose steep import tariffs on washing machines and solar panels earlier in the week.

"Last week the dollar was under pressure on expectations towards the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan normalising monetary policy, but the bear trend has entered an entirely new phase after Mnuchin's comments," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

The U.S. currency was little changed at 109.300 yen , after sinking 1 percent to a four-month trough of 108.965.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was at 89.307, having lost 1 percent the previous day to go below 90 for the first time since December 2014.

The immediate focus was on the ECB's policy setting meetinglater in the global day as markets look for any signs that the central bank is worried about the rapidly appreciating euro.

The euro zone economy may be roaring ahead though the expectation is that a rapidly strengthening euro may see ECB President Mario Draghi pour cold water on the view the bank is speeding towards an interest rate hike. "Some players are likely to lighten their long euro positions if the ECB shows concern about the currency's strength. But even such comments probably won't be enough to halt ongoing dollar weakness," Ishizuki at Daiwa Securities said.

The Australian dollar traded at $0.8054 after advancing 0.8 percent overnight to a four-month high of $0.8083.

The Canadian dollar was at C$1.2352 per dollar and in reach of C$1.2318, its strongest since late September touched overnight.

A rally in crude oil prices have given an extra lift to commodity-linked currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars.

The New Zealand dollar was unchanged at $0.7340 , having pulled back sharply from a five-month high of $0.7437 after data showed the country's consumer prices rose at a slower-than-expected pace in the fourth quarter. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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