Global investors ending 2021 'risk-on' - BofA

By Kitco News / November 16, 2021 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

By Danilo Masoni

MILAN, Nov 16 (Reuters) - Investors are heading towards the end of the year in a "risk-on" mood, having reduced cash allocations and lifted their overweight position on U.S. stocks to the highest since August 2013, BofA Securities' monthly fund manager survey showed.

Inflation remains the biggest tail risk for markets but a majority of 61% believes it is transitory and expect the Federal Reserve to remain "well behind the curve" in setting its monetary policy, the U.S. investment bank added on Tuesday.

The widely watched survey was conducted between the 5th to 11th November among investors with a total of $1.2 trillion of assets under management.

"Investors are not expecting the Fed to tighten aggressively (i.e. buy-in for Powell narrative on transitory inflation and modest tapering)," said Bofa adding that investors now see on average 1.5 Fed rate hikes next year, up from 1.1 last month.

Cash allocations fell to 4.4% in November from 4.7% in the previous survey last month, as investors increased their overall equity overweight and trimmed their overweight in commodities while remaining deeply underweight on bonds.

As fears about price pressures abated, investors rotated out of inflation assets, to discretionary and tech from energy, industrial and banks, while reducing value exposure to the benefit of growth.

The survey highlighted easing concerns over a macro slowdown with a net of 3% now saying the global economy will improve and only 6 out of 100 expecting a recession in the next 12 months.

It also said "Long Tech Stocks" was the most crowded trade at 37% followed by Bitcoin at 21% which a 59% majority thinks is in a bubble.

Reporting by Danilo Masoni; Editing by Saikat Chatterjee

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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