Halliburton Put Options Pricey Ahead of Earnings

By Emma Duncan / October 19, 2018 / www.schaeffersresearch.com / Article Link

OilHAL has been struggling since its mid-May highs

Oil name Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL) is trading up 1.9% at $38.73 today, but the shares have been declining since their mid-May highs. Most recently, HAL touched a two-year low of $35.75 on Sept. 2.

More broadly, oil stocks are taking a hit this week on oversupply concerns and a sector-wide bear note out of J.P. Morgan Securities yesterday. Meanwhile, Halliburton is slated to report its third-quarter earnings before the market opens, Monday, Oct. 22, and here we'll dive into what the options market has priced in for the stock's post-earnings moves.

Daily Chart of HAL Since Jan 2018

Digging into its earnings history, HAL closed lower the day after reporting in six of the last eight quarters, including an 8.1% drop after its late-July report. Looking broader, the shares have averaged a 3.2% move the day after earnings over the last two years, regardless of direction. This time around, options traders are pricing in a larger-than-usual 5.1% swing for Monday's trading.

Digging deeper, short-term traders appear to be betting on a downside move for HAL. This is based on the stock's 30-day implied volatility skew of 8.1%, which ranks in the 80th annual percentile -- indicating puts are more expensive than usual relative to calls.

Lastly, the security's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 95 out of 100. This lofty ranking shows that HAL has a tendency to make larger-than-expected moves on the charts compared to what the options market has priced in over the past year.

Recent News

Platinum, palladium, copper gain on green China, supply constraints

September 29, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks continue to soar as markets stumble

September 29, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks again reach new highs

September 22, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Silver outpaces major metals in recent months

September 22, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Another 'Bubble Check' for the gold sector

September 08, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com
See all >
Share to Youtube Share to Facebook Facebook Share to Linkedin Share to Twitter Twitter Share to Tiktok