Italy not changing budget plans, Commission talks continue: Tria

By Kitco News / November 19, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Italy will stick with its 2019 budget plan despite criticism from the European Commission but talks are continuing, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria said on Monday after attending a meeting of euro zone finance ministers.

Italy is at loggerheads with the Commission and many fellow euro zone governments over its big-spending budget. Brussels has rejected the package, saying it fails to bring down debt as required by European Union rules.

Describing the budget plan as “very moderately” expansionary, Tria told reporters: “The discussion goes on. Obviously the plan of the government doesn’t change, but there’s the intention to carry on the discussion.”

The yield on Italian benchmark 10-year bonds rose to 3.56 percent on Tria’s remarks, the highest for more than three weeks, while the spread compared with safer German Bunds widened to 319 basis points.

Italy has targeted the deficit to rise to 2.4 percent of gross domestic product next year from a projected 1.8 percent this year, remaining inside the EU’s 3 percent ceiling but reversing a previous commitment to reduce borrowing.

Brussels is expected to release a report on Italy’s debt on Wednesday, a possible first step in a disciplinary procedure that could eventually lead to fines and the freezing of EU funds to Rome.

The debt, at more than 130 percent of national output, is proportionally the highest in the euro zone after Greece’s. The Commission expects it to remain broadly stable in the next three years, rejecting Rome’s argument that it will come down thanks to a boost to economic growth.

EXPANSIONARY MEASURES

Tria defended the budget strategy, saying expansionary measures were needed to head off an economic slowdown that was affecting the whole of Europe.

The long-standing growth gap between Italy and more buoyant northern European economies is now narrowing as the government planned, he said, but unfortunately this was only because the others were slowing more sharply than Italy.

“It is false to say Italy has profligate public finances,” said Tria, a 70-year-old academic who is not a member of either of the ruling parties: the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement and the right-wing League.

Tria said France had been given greater leeway than Italy on its budget plans in recent years. He also said Italy’s ‘primary balance’, which measures state accounts excluding debt-servicing costs, had been in surplus for almost 20 years.

“I hope yield spreads come down... when markets understand that 2.4 percent is a maximum ceiling,” Tria said, warning that the stand-off with Brussels could have dangerous consequences.

“I hope that, since we must defend Europe even if we want to change it, we don’t play what the British call the ‘chicken game’, meaning heading towards a ravine and seeing who stops first,” he said.

He acknowledged that “something isn’t working in our dialogue with the Commission”, adding that it was necessary to interrupt a running clash which “has no reason to exist”.

Writing by Gavin Jones and Davide Barbuscia; Editing by Gareth Jones

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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