With the 1960s as our playbook, a breakout in the rate of inflation is the signal of the end of the bull market. Inflation had a mini-breakout in 1965 and a major breakout in 1968. Following the 1965 breakout, stocks endured 3 bear markets over the next 10 years. From 1965 to 1978, precious metals performed very well while stocks gained nothing in nominal terms and had significant losses in real terms.
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association.. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premium, a publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection for the sophisticated investor, as well as TheDailyGold Global, an add-on service for subscribers which covers global capital markets.