METALS-Weaker dollar bumps copper up from two-month low

By Kitco News / February 12, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* LME/ShFE arb: (Updates with closing prices)

By Peter Hobson

LONDON, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Copper prices rose on Monday from a two-month low last week, helped by a weaker dollar and more stable global markets that encouraged a return to riskier assets.

A weaker dollar makes metals cheaper for users of other currencies and can spur demand."A dip in the dollar has lifted the whole base metals sector this morning," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said. "Sentiment is better. There's nothing fundamental. It's external factors affecting the market."

Industrial metals prices have fallen this year but remain near multi-year highs.

"There's a good argument for buying the dips and still being generally positive for metals," Bhar said.

COPPER: Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange ended up 1.1 percent at $6,831 a tonne after touching $6,733 on Friday, the lowest since Dec. 14.

TECHNICALS: Copper was struggling to rise above its 100-day moving average at $6,892 a tonne. Fibonacci resistance was at $6,897 and copper prices were likely to fall further, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said. POSITIONING: Speculators' net long position in LME copper has fallen to the lowest since May and in Comex copper has more than halved since the start of the year, putting pressure on prices.STRIKES: Fears of labour strikes this year had helped push copper higher. But early wage deals at two copper mines may be a signpost for further agreements with mine workers. STOCKS: Inventories in LME-registered warehouses fell slightly but remain near the highest in a year after rising from 200,000 tonnes in mid-January to more than 330,000 tonnes, suggesting plentiful supply. GLOBAL MARKETS: World shares staggered higher after their worst week in two years, attempting to brush off fresh rises in global bond yields. Oil prices also rose for the first time in seven trading sessions. U.S. DEMAND:President Donald Trump unveiled a long-awaited infrastructure plan on Monday that asks the U.S. Congress to authorize $200 billion over 10 years to stimulate $1.5 trillion in improvements paid for by states, localities and private investors. CHINA LOANS: Banks in China, the world's biggest consumer of metals, extended a record 2.9 trillion yuan ($458.3 billion) in new yuan loans in January, blowing past expectations as policymakers aim to sustain solid economic growth. CHINA HOLIDAY: The Shanghai Futures Exchange will close from the evening of Feb. 14 for Lunar New Year celebrations.

OTHER METALS: LME aluminium ended up 0.1 percent at $2,124 a tonne, zinc closed down 0.1 percent at $3,381, nickel ended up 0.1 percent at $13,100, lead closed down 0.7 percent at $2,516 and tin finished 0.3 percent higher at $21,095.


<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Top Base and Precious Metals Analysis - GFMS LME/ShFE arb: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>(Reporting by Peter Hobson. Additional reporting by Maytaal Angel.; Editing by Dale Hudson and David Evans)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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