METALS-Weaker dollar drives copper higher despite surging inventories

By Kitco News / January 24, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* LME/ShFE arb: (Updates with closing prices)

By Peter Hobson

LONDON, Jan 24 (Reuters) - A sharply weaker dollar helped copper to rebound on Wednesday from a one-month low despite a second day of rapidly rising inventories that suggested there is plentiful supply of the metal used in power and construction.

Nickel, meanwhile, pushed through a key technical level to reach a 2-1/2 year peak and lead and zinc advanced to multi-year highs.

Concern over U.S. protectionism and comments by the U.S. Treasury Secretary welcoming a weak dollar drove the greenback to a three-year low against major currencies.A weaker dollar makes metals cheaper for holders of other currencies and can stimulate demand.

"The main story of the day has to be the weakness we are seeing in the dollar," said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir.

COPPER: Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange closed up 3.3 percent at $7,150 a tonne after falling 2.1 percent on Tuesday to $6,885, its lowest since Dec. 19. It was on track for its biggest gain since October.

STOCKS: On-warrant copper stocks available to the market in LME-registered warehouses jumped by 24,325 tonnes after a rise of 44,825 tonnes on Tuesday, taking the increase in on-warrant inventories since Jan. 17 to 51 percent. NO SURPRISE: Traders said that after Tuesday's big rise further inflows had been expected. "We see big stock increases all the time at various points. The market has been talking about it for a couple of weeks (and) because of this doesn't see it as an issue," one trader said.

TECHNICALS: Copper rose back above its technically important 50-day moving average at about $6,944. "We need copper back above $7,075 for a turn in the downward trend," a trader said.

CHINA: Higher LME stocks could reflect weaker import demand from China, analyst Helen Lau wrote in a note. China imported 450,000 tonnes of unwrought copper in December, down 6.9 percent year on year, while its refined copper output hit a record high of 865,000 tonnes. GLOBAL GROWTH: The global economy is expected to grow at a robust pace this year, a Reuters poll showed, bolstering expectations of solid demand for metals. NICKEL: Nickel broke above a long-term downtrend line from its 2011 high, triggering technical buying. Expectations of increased demand in batteries used to power electric vehicles has driven the stainless steel ingredient to 2-1/2 year highs. LME nickel finished up 5.7 percent at $13,580 a tonne. ZINC AND LEAD: Zinc closed 0.8 percent higher at $3,440 after hitting $3,456, the highest since August 2007, while sister metal lead was bid up 1.2 percent to $2,640 after touching $2,649.50, its highest since August 2011. The prices of both metals have been boosted by supply deficits.

OTHER METALS: Aluminium ended up 0.9 percent at $2,250 and tin closed 1.8 percent higher at $21,090.


<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Top Base and Precious Metals Analysis - GFMS LME/ShFE arb: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>(Additional reporting by Tom Daly; Editing by David Goodman and Elaine Hardcastle)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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