TREASURIES-Long-dated yields advance before Trump address, Fed decision

By Kitco News / January 30, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments, updates table)

* U.S. 10-year yields rise to nearly 4-year peak

* U.S. 30-year yields hit highest since May

* Focus on Trump speech, Fed, U.S. jobs


By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Jan 30 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury long-dated yields rose on Tuesday ahead of a slew of events this week such as a Federal Reserve monetary policy decision which could help shed more light on the outlook for interest rates this year.

Benchmark U.S. 10-year yields, which move inversely to prices, touched their highest in nearly four years, while 30-year yields climbed to their highest since May 2017.

Gennadiy Goldberg, interest rates strategist at TD Securities in New York, said investors were spooked by declines on Wall Street overnight and on Tuesday, prompting a flight to the safety of U.S. government bonds in early trade.

But then Treasuries prices fell as investors positioned for President Donald Trump's first State of the Union address to Congress later on Tuesday, the Fed statement on Wednesday, and the impending U.S. non-farm payrolls report for January.

Trump was expected to take credit for U.S. economic gains and benefits from a tax overhaul approved by the Republican-controlled Congress in December. The Fed will also be a big focus this week, with analysts expecting it to hold rates steady, but strike a hawkish tone in its statement.

The U.S. central bank on Tuesday kicked off its two-day meeting, Fed Chairperson Janet Yellen's last after four years in office. Fed Governor Jerome Powell will take over next month.

"There is widespread risk for more upbeat assessments of growth and inflation (from the Fed), especially now that tax reform is in place," Action Economics wrote on its blog.

Fed funds futures have priced in a 90 percent chance the Fed will raise rates in March, a 65 percent probability of another hike in June, and a more than 50 percent chance of further tightening in December.

In late trading, U.S. 10-year yields edged up to 2.727 percent, from Monday's 2.699 percent. Overnight, 10-year yields hit 2.733 percent, the highest since April 2014.

U.S. 30-year bond yields also rose to 2.973 percent , up from 2.943 percent late Monday. The yield on this maturity touched an 8-1/2-month peak of 2.989 percent earlier in the session.

The yield curve has steepened on Tuesday, with the spread between five-year and 30-year yields widening to 47.40 basis points .

The gap between U.S. 2-year and 10-year yields rose to 60.10 basis points , the widest in three weeks.

TD's Goldberg said Tuesday's steepening was just a reversal of a generally flattening trend in the last couple of weeks, with investors taking profits on those trades.

January 30 Tuesday 3:02PM New York / 2002 GMT

PriceUS T BONDS MAR8 147-12/32-0-24/3210YR TNotes MAR8 121-168/256-0-40/25

6

PriceCurrent Net

Yield % Change

(bps)Three-month bills 1.4351.46030.007Six-month bills 1.6275 1.6638-0.005Two-year note 99-194/256 2.12430.000Three-year note 99-68/2562.25810.000Five-year note 99-98/2562.50710.010Seven-year note 99-8/256 2.65250.02010-year note 95-244/256 2.72360.02530-year bond 95-136/256 2.97720.034

DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS

Last (bps) Net

Change

(bps) U.S. 2-year dollar swap19.00 0.25spread U.S. 3-year dollar swap18.75 0.75spread U.S. 5-year dollar swap 7.00 0.25spread U.S. 10-year dollar swap1.75-0.50spread U.S. 30-year dollar swap-15.00-0.75spread (Editing by Bernadette Baum and David Gregorio)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Recent News

Monetary-driven precious metals outperform major base metals

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks hit by plunging equities markets

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks down as metal and equities momentum fades

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Another Kazatomprom guidance announcement shakes uranium price

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Major monetary drivers still supporting gold

August 26, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com
See all >
Share to Youtube Share to Facebook Facebook Share to Linkedin Share to Twitter Twitter Share to Tiktok