TREASURIES-Yields for most maturities rise, track euro zone bonds

By Kitco News / January 25, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* ECB's Draghi says euro zone inflation to rise in medium term

* German bond yields climb, Treasuries follow

* Treasury to auction 7-year notes


(Adds comment, U.S. data, byline, table; updates prices in text)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Jan 25 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt yields for most maturities rose from earlier lows on Thursday in line with gains in those of euro zone bonds after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi cited the region's "solid and broad" growth and said inflation was likely to rise in the medium term.

The yield on 10-year German government bonds, the benchmark for the bloc, hit a six-month high at 0.579 percent following Draghi's remarks. In a press briefing after the ECB kept interest rates unchanged, Draghi said underlying inflation in the euro zone is expected to rise gradually over the medium term supported by the bank's monetary policy measures as well the economy's continued expansion. "We're purely trading off Europe," said Tom di Galoma, managing director at Seaport Global in New York. "European government bonds had a big reversal here after Draghi's comments that were a bit hawkish."

In mid-morning trading, benchmark U.S. 10-year note yields rose to 2.659 percent, after earlier falls, and up from Wednesday's 2.654 percent.

U.S. 30-year bond yields, however, were lower on the day, at 2.919 percent , down from 2.937 percent late on Wednesday. The yield on this maturity touched a 3-1/2-month peak in the previous session.

U.S. 2-year yields, meanwhile, were up at 2.096 percent , from Wednesday's 2.084 percent.

Thursday's U.S. economic data was mixed, with U.S. jobless claims rising less than expected to a seasonally-adjusted 233,000, for the week ended Jan. 20. U.S. new home sales, on the other hand, dropped 9.3 percent in December, their largest fall in nearly 1-1/2 years.Both reports though had little immediate impact on Treasuries, as the data, particularly new home sales, have done little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in March.

Also on Thursday, the U.S. Treasury will auction $28 bln in 7-year notes.

Aaron Kohli, rates strategist at BMO Capital Markets in New York, expects the seven-year rate to come slightly higher than the expected level at the bid deadline, suggesting a little more tepid demand than usual for this type of maturity.

"Seasonality of foreign buying has not been a big boost for January auctions," Kohli said.

He noted that of the past five January auctions, foreign buying has averaged 16.6 percent, notably less than the historical average since 2009 of 20.4 percent. That said, Kohli pointed out that Japanese flows recently have been positive, with yield spreads between U.S. and foreign debt generally wide, suggesting there could be demand after all.

January 25 Thursday 10:41AM New York / 1541 GMT

PriceUS T BONDS MAR8 148-23/320-8/3210YR TNotes MAR8 122-28/256 -0-24/25

6

PriceCurrent Net

Yield % Change

(bps)Three-month bills 1.4025 1.427 -0.013Six-month bills 1.61.63540.002Two-year note 99-208/256 2.09620.012Three-year note 99-98/2562.21580.011Five-year note 99-160/256 2.45520.013Seven-year note 97-216/256 2.59190.01310-year note 96-124/256 2.65960.00630-year bond 96-164/256 2.9194-0.018

DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS

Last (bps) Net

Change

(bps) U.S. 2-year dollar swap18.75 1.00spread U.S. 3-year dollar swap19.50 1.00spread U.S. 5-year dollar swap 7.50 0.50spread U.S. 10-year dollar swap3.00 0.50spread U.S. 30-year dollar swap-13.25 1.25spread (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Frances Kerry and Susan Thomas)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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