U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 6 points at 8:35 AM EDT.
S&P 500 futures slipped 1 point following release of July Durable Goods Orders at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was a 4.0% increase versus an upwardly revised 6.9% drop in June. Actual was a 9.9% increase. Excluding transportation orders, consensus was unchanged versus a downwardly revised -0.1% decline in June. Actual was a 0.2% decline
WTI Crude Oil added $2.03 to $76.86 per barrel on increasing Middle East tensions.
Nvidia added $1.11 to $173.52 in anticipation of second quarter results to be released on Wednesday.
Regeneron added $11.46 to $1,199.12 after receiving European approval for Ordspono.
EquityClock's stock market outlook for Monday
The abnormal rise in New Home Sales for July hints that the housing market has entered a new phase, one where looser conditions entices activity. See:
https://equityclock.com/2024/08/24/stock-market-outlook-for-august-26-2024/
The Bottom Line
Responses to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Jackson Hole comments triggered significant buying in North American equity markets on Friday. According to Powell, "The time has come to adjust our restrictive monetary policy". His comments implied that the FOMC likely will start to lower its Fed Fund Rate at its next meeting on September 18th. Key equity and sector indices broke to all-time highs on Friday following Powell's comments including Financial SPDRs, Utility SPDRs, Industrial SPDRs and Equal Weight S&P 500 ETF. Also, Healthcare SPDRs and Utilities SPDRs extended their move to all-time highs. Canadian indices quickly followed: TSX Composite Index, S&P/TSE 60 Index, TSX Financials iShares broke to all-time highs.
Currencies moved significantly following Powell's comments. The U.S. Dollar dropped to an eight month low. The Canadian Dollar broke above US73.58 cents reached on two previous occasions setting an intermediate uptrend. Related to the change, prices of U.S. securities valued in Canadian Dollars dropped accordingly.
Economic News This Week
Source: www.Investing.com
July Durable Goods Orders released at 8:30 AM EDT on Monday are expected to increase 4.0% versus a drop of 6.6% in June. Excluding transportation orders, July Durable Goods Orders are expected to be unchanged versus a gain of 0.5% in June.
Next estimate of annualized second quarter real GDP released at 8:30 AM EDT on Thursday is expected to show growth at 2.8% versus a gain of 1.4% in the first quarter.
July PCE Price Index released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.2% versus a gain of 0.1% in June.
July Personal Income released at 8:30 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase 0.2% versus a gain of 0.2% in June. July Personal Spending is expected to increase 0.5% versus a gain of 0.3% in June.
August Michigan Consumer Sentiment released at 10:00 AM EDT on Friday is expected to increase to 67.8 from 66.4 in July.
Selected Earnings News This Week
Source: www.Investing.com
Focuses are on reports by Nvidia in the U.S. and banks in Canada
Trader's Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for August 23rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Source for all positive seasonality ratings: www.EquityClock.com
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for August 23rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for August 23rd 2024
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Changes Last Week
Links offered by valued providers
Michael Campbell's Money Talks for August 24th
Michael Campbell's MoneyTalks - Complete Show (mikesmoneytalks.ca)
2 Best Healthcare Stocks for August 2024: David Keller
2 Best Healthcare Stocks for August 2024 - YouTube
Powell Pivots: "Time to Adjust": Schwab
Powell Pivots: "Time to Adjust" - YouTube
BoC widely expected to cut rates in September: BNN
BoC widely expected to cut rates in September - YouTube
Markets in a potentially dangerous time: Mark Leibovit
Markets in a Potentially Dangerous Time - HoweStreet
TLT Turns the Corner and Starts to Lead: Arthur Hill
TLT Turns the Corner and Starts to Lead | Art’s Charts | StockCharts.com
Fed Promised Cuts Will Not Take You to the Promised Land: Bob Hoye
Fed Promised Cuts Will Not Take You to the Promised Land - HoweStreet
Markets in a Potentially Dangerous Time: Mark Lebovit
Markets in a Potentially Dangerous Time - HoweStreet
In Reality, We're Already in Recession: Danielle Park
In Reality, We're Already in Recession - HoweStreet
Trading Desk Notes for August 24, 2024:Victor Adair
Trading Desk Notes for August 24, 2024 - HoweStreet
Technical Scoop from David Chapman and www.EnrichedInvesting.com for August 26th
https://enrichedinvesting.com/library/
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 7.00 on Friday and gained 10.80 last week to 79.80. It remains Overbought. Daily trend remains up.
The long term Barometer added 2.00 on Friday and gained 3.80 last week to 77.60. It remains Overbought. Daily trend remains up.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate Barometer added 7.95 on Friday and gained 4.43 last week to 72.57. It remains Overbought. Daily uptrend resumed on Friday.
The long term Barometer added 0.88 on Friday and was unchanged last week at 75.66. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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