Look at US economy in totality and not just the job creation. Job creation has to be supported by other factors like consumer spending, confidence among other factors. Christmas and early January is a global cyclical period of high consumption and hence higher jobs. US job market and global jobs market on or from February of next year will be the key. December-January trend in global jobs market can be mis-leading. Those who are looking at jobs market trend and investing for next year need to be careful.
Chinese New Year is towards the end of January. I am hopeful that Chinese gold physical demand will be near record highs. If spot gold price remains below $1430 around end January then Chinese gold demand will zoom. Potential Chinese gold demand around the Chinese New year will prevent gold prices from attack bearish factors like trade deal, US jobs creation and sustained rise in US bond yields among other factors. Slowdown in central bank gold demand will be only temporary.
Momentum is down for gold and silver. There are a few events this week which can still support gold and silver bulls.
1. FOMC meet.
2. UK elections.
3. US-China trade deal deadline.
4. US economic data released need to support the nonfarm payrolls.
5. Impeachment related news of Trump.
COMEX SILVER MARCH 2020 - current price $1658.70
? Crash will be there if silver trades below $1645-$1650 zone today to $1633 and $1603.
? Silver needs to trade over $1665-$1670 zone to rise to $1700 and $1737.
MCX Crude oil 18th December 2019: (previous day close/CMP Rs.4206.00)
? Key long term resistance is at 4322. A break of 4322 will result in 4555.
? Overall trend is bullish as long as copper trades over 4059.
(prices in Indian rupees above. The above is a part of the mcx weekly technical report).
Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. All analyses used herein are subjective opinions of the author and should not be considered as specific investment advice. Investors/Traders must consider all relevant risk factors including their own personal financial situation before trading. Websitewww.insigniaconsultants.in. Prepared by Chintan Karnani
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