Today was all about two things - what went up (crypto) and what went down (US economic growth forecasts).
The much-anticipated launch of a Bitcoin (Futures) ETF sent the cryptocurrency to a record closing high (yes we know BTC doesn't "close")...
Source: Bloomberg
Just below the record intraday high from earlier in the year...
Source: Bloomberg
Spot Bitcoin topped $64,000 intraday...
Source: Bloomberg
As BITO opened above its reference price, ripped, dipped back below it, then rebounded...
BITO traded around $1bn making it the biggest opening day for an ETF ever...
$BITO just about at $1b in total volume today (curr $993m but trades still trickling in). Easily the biggest Day One of any ETF in terms of 'natural' volume. It also traded more than 99.5% of all ETFs (incl some bigs like $DIA, $ARKK, $SLV). It def defied our expectations.. pic.twitter.com/rWIPSAJboT
- Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) October 19, 2021And as crypto rallied, US economic growth forecasts fell to almost nothing...
Source: Bloomberg
Which did not help the dollar, as it broke down through recent support, near 1-month lows...
Source: Bloomberg
Stocks ended the day higher - after some serious whipsaws - led by Nasdaq and S&P while The Dow and Small Caps lagged...
Bonds were mixed once again but flipped the recent trend with the short-end bid, long-end offered (2Y -3bps, 30Y +5bps) as the economic outlook slowed...
Source: Bloomberg
Which unwound yesterday's flattening in the 2s30s curve...
Source: Bloomberg
While Bitcoin surged, Ethereum also rallied but continues to underperform as the ratio finds support...
Source: Bloomberg
Commodity-land was mixed with silver outperforming and gold flat, oil up modestly and copper down as LME made efforts to control the chaos...
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, we note that bitcoin's "market cap" is now rapidly approaching that of Silver...
As the entire cryptocurrency market cap topped $2.5 trillion - a new record high...
And Happy 34th Black Monday anniversary...