BUZZ-COMMENT-JPY at a crossroads after offshore volatility

By Kitco News / February 28, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

A sharp risk selloff overnight saw stocks, commodities, EM ETFsall lower & the JPY stronger. Analysts are suggesting a delayedreaction to Fed chair Powell's testimony on Tuesday , but it was month-end, which often results in flowsthat have to be executed to get back within prudential limits -rather than discretionary trades. CME futures have shown largeJPY shorts for some time, so trimming of those positions intomonth-end looks plausible, with the focus now on how Tokyoreacts to current JPY strength. USD/JPY opens with neutralsignals , but AUD/JPY, which correlates well withrisk in Asia, is in a strong downtrend . Thissituation is unlikely to last and the outcome will be pivotalfor the next move in risk assets. China Caixin Feb manufacturingPMI will be key for AUD/JPY intraday, after yesterday's softofficial data . As a fresh month kicks off, today'sprice action should provide the answer to yesterday's moves, butchances are most of that volatility was driven by month-endflow.<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^AUD/JPY: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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