| Price DataSymbol | Date | Price | Change | 52 Wk Range | Volume | OTCMKTS:CZICF | 06/08/2017 | USD | 0.1340 | 0.0040 | 0.3200 - 0.1100 | 48,086 | TSE:CZN | 06/08/2017 | CAD | 0.1800 | 0.0100 | 0.4100 - 0.1600 | 173,949 |
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Don's Summary (from last analysis - 06/08/2017)
Canadian Zinc has a silver/zinc/lead project (Prairie Creek) in the Northwest Territories. They are heading towards production once they get financing ($180 million capex) and have a large high grade deposit (70 million oz at 4 opt). Production will start slow (1.7 million oz) and increase, but likely reaching 3 million ounces per year. Estimated future reserves are valued at .74 cents per oz, and they have a fully diluted market cap of only $37 million. The after-tax IRR is only 15% at $18 silver. I would not expect them to get financing until silver reaches $20.
What I really like is their potential to find more reserves and increase production, because very little drilling has been done on the Praire Creek property (20,000 acres and a 10 mile trend). Also, they have a lot of high grade zinc (9%) and lead (9%), which will make this a low cost silver mine. I expect this stock to be at least a 15 bagger long term at higher silver prices - if they build the mine. Another thing I like about them is that they are an unlikely takeover target, because the project has a low IRR and a high capex. They currently have a good balance sheet with $6 million in cash and no debt. They many need more cash to complete the final feasibility study, which is underway.
I'm projecting all-in costs of $12 per oz, which I think is conservative. Zinc and Lead sell for about 85 cents per lb. 165 million lbs x .85 = $140 million annually. Operating cash costs are projected to be less than $100 million the first 5 years, thus silver cash costs should be low. My worry is they will sell the silver in a streaming deal to finance the capex and then focus on zinc production (they are talking to Sandstorm). The capex is high and they will be tempted to sell the silver in advance to finance the mine. That is my biggest concern. If they do a streaming deal, it will be much easier to finance the mine.
The mine is almost permitted. All they have left to do is a road permit (expected in 2017), final feasibility, and financing. I've followed this stock for 10 years and management has always been a weakness. They currently do not have a company presentation on their website. In the past, their company presentations have not been comprehensive. They have done very little drilling over the past 10 years, even though there is excellent exploration potential on the property.
This stock is so cheap that the play is probably to wait and see how they finance the mine. If they don't do a silver stream, then it will triple in value very quickly.
General Details
Financial | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | Mkt. Cap (Fully Diluted): | $37.13M | $39.28M | 06/08/2017 | $2.14M | Total Assets: | $12.24M | $12.23M | 06/08/2017 | $-0.01M | Total Liabilities: | $2.10M | $2.09M | 06/08/2017 | $0.00M | Current Assets: | $6.18M | $6.17M | 06/08/2017 | $-0.01M | Current Liabilities: | $0.75M | $0.75M | 06/08/2017 | $0.00M | Total Debt: | $0.00M | $0.00M | 06/08/2017 | $0.00M | Cash: | $5.75M | $5.74M | 06/08/2017 | $-0.01M | Enterprise Value: | $31.39M | $33.54M | 01/23/1971 | $2.15M | Cash Flow: | $0.00M | $0.00M | never | $0.00M | Cash Flow Multiple: | 0.00 | 0.00 | never | 0.00 | Net Debt to Cash Flow Ratio: | n/a | n/a | never | 0.00 | Finance within 1 year: | | | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Tax Rate: | (guess) 30.00% | (default) 30.00% | 06/08/2017 | 0.00% |
| Misc | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | Share Price: | $0.126 | $0.133 | 16:06 on 06/08/2017 | $0.01 | Shares Outstanding: | 266,000,000 | 266,000,000 | 06/08/2017 | 0 | Shares Fully Diluted: | 295,000,000 | 295,000,000 | 06/08/2017 | 0 | Insider Ownership: | n/a | n/a | never | n/a | Company Type: | Mostly Silver | Mostly Silver | never | n/a | Production ETA: | n/a | 01/01/2020 | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Production (Gold Eq Oz.): | (guess) 0 | (guess) 0 | 06/08/2017 | 0 | Production (Silver Eq Oz.): | (guess) 0 | (guess) 0 | 06/08/2017 | 0 | Initial CapEx (Outstanding): | $192.00M 517.08% of Mkt.Cap | $192.00M 488.86% of Mkt.Cap | 06/08/2017 | $0.00M | Funding Option: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Documentation: | none | FS | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Value Adjustment: | none | none | never | 0% |
|
Resource Data
GOLD | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | O U N C E S | T O T A L
| Proven & Probable: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Measured & Indicated: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Inferred: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Reserves & Resources: | n/a | n/a | never | 0.00M | P L A U S I B L E | Proven & Probable: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Measured & Indicated: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Inferred: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Reserves & Resources: | n/a | n/a | never | 0.00M | C U R R E N T | Annual Production: | n/a | n/a | | 0oz. | Cash Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | $0.00 | Extra Operating Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | $0.00 | Average Grade: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Recovery Rate: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00% | F U T U R E | Proven & Probable: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Annual Production: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Cash Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Extra Operating Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a |
| SILVER | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | O U N C E S | T O T A L
| Proven & Probable: | 30.00M | 30.00M | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Measured & Indicated: | 35.00M | 35.00M | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Inferred: | 35.00M | 35.00M | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Reserves & Resources: | 70.00M | 70.00M | never | 0.00M | P L A U S I B L E | Proven & Probable: | 27.00M | 26.10M | 06/08/2017 | -0.90M | Measured & Indicated: | 30.60M | 29.58M | 06/08/2017 | -1.02M | Inferred: | 15.75M | 15.23M | 06/08/2017 | -0.53M | Reserves & Resources: | 46.35M | 44.81M | never | -1.55M | C U R R E N T | Annual Production: | n/a | n/a | | 0oz. | Cash Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | $0.00 | Extra Operating Cost: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | $0.00 | Average Grade: | 150.00 g/t | 150.00 g/t | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Recovery Rate: | (CG) 90.00% | (CG) 87.00% | 06/08/2017 | -3.00% | F U T U R E | Proven & Probable: | 50.00M | 50.00M | 06/08/2017 | 0.00M | Annual Production: | 2,500,000oz. | 2,500,000oz. | 06/08/2017 | 0oz. | Cash Cost: | $6 | $6 | 06/08/2017 | $0 | Extra Operating Cost: | $6 | $6 | 06/08/2017 | $0 |
|
Property
Last Analysis Data (06/08/2017) | Stage | Location | Name | Owned | Size (Ha) | Type | Au | Ag | Cu | Notes | Exploration | Northwest Territories, Canada | Prairie Creek | 100% (guess) | 8,000 | Underground | | | | show | 70 million oz high grade resource.'
Permitted. | Total Land Package Size (ha): | 8,000 | |
| Current Data | Stage | Location | Name | Owned | Size (Ha) | Type | Au | Ag | Cu | Notes | Exploration | Northwest Territories, Canada | Prairie Creek | 100% (guess) | 8,000 | Underground | | | | show | 70 million oz high grade resource.'
Permitted. | Total Land Package Size (ha): | 8,000 | |
|
Profitability (by resource)
Proven & Probable | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | Percentage Gold: | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00% | Percentage Silver: | 100.00% | 100.00% | n/a | 0.00% | Total (Gold Eq. Oz.): | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00M | Total (Silver Eq. Oz.): | 30.00M | 30.00M | n/a | 0.00M | P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E | Gold Eq. Oz.: | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.01M | Silver Eq. Oz.: | 27.00M | 26.10M | n/a | -0.90M | Maximum Profit (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00M | Maximum Profit (Silver): | $102.06M | $98.48M | n/a | $-3.58M | Total Maximum Profit: | $102.06M | $98.48M | n/a | $-3.58M | Max Profit / Current MCap: | 2.749 | 2.507 | n/a | -0.241 | Max Profit Per Share (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00 | Max Profit Per Share (Silver): | $0.35 | $0.33 | n/a | $-0.01 | Total Max Profit Per Share: | $0.35 | $0.33 | n/a | $-0.01 | Total Free Profit Per Share: | $0.18 | $0.15 | n/a | $-0.02 | FD Mkt. Cap / Gold Eq.: | $100.91 | $110.61 | n/a | $9.71 | FD Mkt. Cap / Silver Eq.: | $1.38 | $1.50 | n/a | $0.13 | FD Mkt. Cap / Per Metal as % Spot Price: | 7.90% | 8.65% | n/a | 0.75% |
| Measured & Indicated | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | Percentage Gold: | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00% | Percentage Silver: | 100.00% | 100.00% | n/a | 0.00% | Total (Gold Eq. Oz.): | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00M | Total (Silver Eq. Oz.): | 35.00M | 35.00M | n/a | 0.00M | P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E | Gold Eq. Oz.: | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.01M | Silver Eq. Oz.: | 30.60M | 29.58M | n/a | -1.02M | Maximum Profit (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00M | Maximum Profit (Silver): | $115.67M | $111.61M | n/a | $-4.06M | Total Maximum Profit: | $115.67M | $111.61M | n/a | $-4.06M | Max Profit / Current MCap: | 3.115 | 2.842 | n/a | -0.273 | Max Profit Per Share (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00 | Max Profit Per Share (Silver): | $0.39 | $0.38 | n/a | $-0.01 | Total Max Profit Per Share: | $0.39 | $0.38 | n/a | $-0.01 | Total Free Profit Per Share: | $0.22 | $0.20 | n/a | $-0.02 | FD Mkt. Cap / Gold Eq.: | $89.04 | $97.60 | n/a | $8.57 | FD Mkt. Cap / Silver Eq.: | $1.21 | $1.33 | n/a | $0.11 | FD Mkt. Cap / Per Metal as % Spot Price: | 6.97% | 7.64% | n/a | 0.66% |
|
Reserves & Resources | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change |
Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value |
Percentage Gold: | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00% |
Percentage Silver: | 100.00% | 100.00% | n/a | 0.00% |
Total (Gold Eq. Oz.): | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.00M |
Total (Silver Eq. Oz.): | 70.00M | 70.00M | n/a | 0.00M |
P
L
A
U
S
I
B
L
E | Gold Eq. Oz.: | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.02M |
Silver Eq. Oz.: | 46.35M | 44.81M | n/a | -1.55M |
Maximum Profit (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00M |
Maximum Profit (Silver): | $175.20M | $169.05M | n/a | $-6.15M |
Total Maximum Profit: | $175.20M | $169.05M | n/a | $-6.15M |
Max Profit / Current MCap: | 4.718 | 4.304 | n/a | -0.414 |
Max Profit Per Share (Gold): | n/a | n/a | n/a | $0.00 |
Max Profit Per Share (Silver): | $0.59 | $0.57 | n/a | $-0.02 |
Total Max Profit Per Share: | $0.59 | $0.57 | n/a | $-0.02 |
Total Free Profit Per Share: | $0.42 | $0.39 | n/a | $-0.03 |
FD Mkt. Cap / Gold Eq.: | $58.78 | $64.44 | n/a | $5.65 |
FD Mkt. Cap / Silver Eq.: | $0.80 | $0.88 | n/a | $0.08 |
FD Mkt. Cap / Per Metal as % Spot Price: | 4.60% | 5.04% | n/a | 0.44% |
Future Valuation (Cash Flow & Totals)
Totals | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | C U R R E N T | R & R Valuation: | $120.97M | $116.87M | n/a | $-4.10M | Mkt. Cap: | $37.13M | $39.28M | n/a | $2.14M | Annual Gold Production: | n/a | n/a | | 0oz. | Annual Silver Production: | n/a | n/a | | 0oz. | F
U
T
U
R
E | FD Mkt. Cap: | $750.00M | $750M | n/a | $0M | FD Mkt. Cap Growth: | 1,920% | 1,810% | n/a | -110% | Annual Production | Gold: | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | Silver: | 2,500,000 oz. | 2,500,000 oz. | n/a | 0 oz. | Current FD Mkt. Cap / | Gold Eq. Reserves: | 18.57 | 19.64 | n/a | 1.07 | Silver Eq. Reserves: | 0.74 | 0.79 | n/a | 0.04 | Gold Eq. Production: | 371.32 | 392.75 | n/a | 21.44 | Silver Eq. Production: | 14.85 | 15.71 | n/a | 0.86 | P&P Reserves (oz.) | Gold: | n/a | n/a | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Silver: | 50.00M | 50.00M | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Gold Eq.: | 2.00M | 2.00M | 06/08/2017 | n/a | Silver Eq.: | 50.00M | 50.00M | 06/08/2017 | n/a | P&P Reserves per FD Share (oz.) | Gold: | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | Silver: | 0.169 | 0.169 | n/a | n/a | Gold Eq.: | 0.007 | 0.007 | n/a | n/a | Silver Eq.: | 0.169 | 0.169 | n/a | n/a |
| Cash Flow | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change | Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value | Current: | $0.00M | $0.00M | n/a | $0.00M | Current Multiple: | 0.00 | 0.00 | n/a | 0.00 | F U T U R E | @ current prices: | $8.10M | $8.09M | n/a | $-0.01M | Multiple @ current prices: | 4.58 | 4.86 | n/a | 0.27 | Growth @ current prices: | 0.00% | 0.00% | n/a | 0.00 | @ future prices: | $132.00M | $132.00M | n/a | $0.00M | Multiple @ future prices: | 0.28 | 0.30 | n/a | 0.02 | Growth @ future prices: | 0.00% | 0.00% | n/a | 0.00 |
|
Defaults
Defaults | 06/08/2017 Last Analysis Data | Current Data | Change |
Item | Value | Value | Updated | Value |
Exchange Rates: | CAD 0.7404 | CAD 0.7396 | 06/08/2017 | |
Spot Gold: | $1,276.70 | $1,278.30 | 06/08/2017 | $1.60 |
Spot Silver: | $17.40 | $17.39 | 06/08/2017 | $-0.01 |
Gold:Silver Ratio: | 73.37 | 73.51 | 06/08/2017 | 0.13 |
Spot Gold (Future): | $2,500.00 | $2,500.00 | | $0.00 |
Spot Silver (Future): | $100.00 | $100.00 | | $0.00 |
Gold:Silver Ratio (Future): | 25.00 | 25.00 | | 0.00 |
Gold Cash Cost: | $750.00 | $750.00 | | $0.00 |
Gold Extra Operating Cost: | $350.00 | $350.00 | | $0.00 |
Gold Avg. Recovery Rate: | 75.00% | 75.00% | | 0.00% |
Silver Cash Cost: | $10.00 | $10.00 | | $0.00 |
Silver Extra Operating Cost: | $6.00 | $6.00 | | $0.00 |
Silver Avg. Recovery Rate: | 75.00% | 75.00% | | 0.00% |
Plausibility of P & P: | 100.00% | 100.00% | | 0.00% |
Plausibility of M & I: | 80.00% | 80.00% | | 0.00% |
Plausibility of Inferred: | 50.00% | 50.00% | | 0.00% |
Tax Rate: | 30.00% | 30.00% | | 0.00% |
Tax Rate (Future): | 40.00% | 40.00% | | 0.00% |
Future Valuation Multiplier: | 15.00% | 15.00% | | 0.00% |