Colombia May inflation could lead cenbank to sharper rate cut -analysts

By Kitco News / June 06, 2017 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

BOGOTA, June 6 (Reuters) - Colombia's lower-than-expected May inflation figure opens the door for the central bank board to back a 50-basis-point rate cut at this month's meeting, analysts said on Tuesday.

The government statistics agency said on Monday consumer prices were up 0.23 percent last month, taking twelve-month inflation to 4.37 percent, closer to the central bank's long-term target of 2 percent to 4 percent. The seven-member board has been grappling with the twin pressures of weak economic growth and high inflation. But given the May figure was below the 0.30 percent predicted by analysts, policymakers may now be more comfortable with a sharper rate cut than the 25 basis points trimmed last month. "It should be highlighted that the inflation results are good news for this central bank board meeting," brokerage Alianza said in a note to investors. "It has been a key figure in the latest monetary policy decisions."

The board is still likely to be divided, however, as some members continue to predict that inflation will not fall to within the target range this year, a view shared by some analysts. "We think that with this figure there's still room for new cuts in the rate. However, despite these favorable figures, it is still worrisome that some basic inflation measures remain above 5 percent," Bancolombia said in a note.


(Reporting by Nelson Bocanegra; Writing by Julia Symmes Cobb; Editing by Bernard Orr)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities,securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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