Dollar drops to three-week low as euro rises; U.S. payrolls in focus

By Kitco News / July 05, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar fell to three-week lows on Thursday as strong German industrial orders boosted the euro while U.S. data showed private sector jobs rose less than expected in June, weighing on the greenback along with nagging trade concerns.

In recent weeks, the dollar benefited from mounting trade tensions, said John Doyle, director of markets, at Tempus Consulting in Washington. “But we’re seeing a reversal of those gains today and there are several reasons for that, such as what’s happening in the euro zone.”

He also cited “profit-taking and repositioning as we enter the new quarter as well.”

In February, the dollar hit its lowest in more than three years, and has rallied nearly 7 percent since then.

The dollar briefly extended losses after minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting showed policy makers remained upbeat on the U.S. economic outlook but worried about a trade war.

“The interpretation might be that the Fed’s ‘put,’ if you will, seems to be evaporating...they’re focused on their job which is going to require them to continue to raise interest rates until the data from the impact from the tariffs leads them to act otherwise,” said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist, at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadephia.

“So I think the hurdle for any kind of pause in the rate hike cycle is quite high, and investors are realizing that.”

Investors now are looking to Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report.

In afternoon trading, the dollar index was down 0.2 percent at 94.467. Earlier, it had dropped to a three-week low.

The euro climbed after German industrial orders had a higher-than-expected jump in May following four monthly drops.

The euro also benefited as Washington has softened its trade rhetoric toward European Union carmakers.

The euro rallied to a three-weak peak and last changed hands at $1.1681, up 0.4 percent.

U.S. data showed private payrolls increased last month, but were lower than forecast, while jobless claims rose unexpectedly last week.

This data weighed on the dollar, but the currency trimmed losses after a higher-than-expected U.S. services index.

A deadline for Washington to impose tariffs on Chinese imports, set for July 6, has kept the market rangebound.

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Currency bid prices at 3:25PM (1925 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1686 $1.1654 +0.27% -2.58% +1.1720 +1.1650

Dollar/Yen JPY= 110.6500 110.4500 +0.18% -1.80% +110.7100 +110.3000

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 129.30 128.78 +0.40% -4.35% +129.6300 +128.5800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9936 0.9924 +0.12% +1.98% +0.9944 +0.9911

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.3215 1.3230 -0.11% -2.20% +1.3274 +1.3205

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3137 1.3139 -0.02% +4.45% +1.3159 +1.3115

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.7383 0.7380 +0.04% -5.36% +0.7408 +0.7362

ar

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1612 1.1569 +0.37% -0.66% +1.1619 +1.1569

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8839 0.8811 +0.32% -0.50% +0.8857 +0.8805

NZ NZD= 0.6784 0.6759 +0.37% -4.26% +0.6797 +0.6752

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 8.0604 8.1078 -0.58% -1.79% +8.1235 +8.0373

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.4203 9.4557 -0.37% -4.35% +9.4709 +9.4063

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.7762 8.7876 +0.14% +7.00% +8.7988 +8.7307

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.2570 10.2428 +0.14% +4.25% +10.2585 +10.2130

Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Susan Thomas and David Gregorio

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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