President Trump over the weekend tweeted about progress in trade talks with China
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) are trading above fair value, signaling a positive New Year's Eve session. There's almost nothing on the docket today, save the Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, though some traders are focusing on upbeat trade comments from President Donald Trump over the week. Specifically, Trump tweeted that "big progress" is being made between the U.S. and China. Still, trading volumes are likely to remain thin today ahead of the New Year's holiday tomorrow -- and the Dow and S&P look set to record their first yearly declines since 2015, while the Nasdaq Composite is pacing for its first annual loss since 2011.
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On the last day of 2018, most markets in Asia were closed for holiday. Amid an abbreviated session, Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 1.3%, but still finished the year with a 13.6% decline. China's December manufacturing activity came in lower than expected, fueling concerns over the impact of the trade dispute with the U.S.
Over in Europe, stocks are a mixed bag in a low-volume, holiday-shortened session. London's FTSE 100 is down 0.1%, at last check, and is heading toward a more than 12% decline for 2018 amid Brexit uncertainty. The U.K. parliament will vote on a deal in mid-January. Elsewhere, the French CAC 40 is up 1.1% today, while the German DAX is closed for the holiday.