(Kitco News) - Merger-and-acquisition activityin the mining sector is likely to pick up in the next year, said theconsultancy EY in a report Thursday.
The firm’s 19th Capital ConfidenceBarometer shows that 58% of global mining executives say they intend to pursuemergers and acquisitions in the next 12 months, compared with 46% across allsectors.
Third-quarter deal value rose 25%from the prior quarter to $16.8 billion, and the 115 deals was a 15% increase,EY said. Still, the firm described mining companies as cautious about mergersas they continued to focus on balance-sheet stability and returning cash toshareholders. This was reflected by a decline in capital raised, which fell by22% during the quarter to $50.2 billion.
“In the third quarter of 2018,mining and metals companies continued to tread carefully in their approach todeal-making and capital allocation,” said Lee Downham, EY’s global mining andmetals leader for transactions. “Geopolitical instability, including ongoingtrade turbulence, has compounded the sector’s focus on optionality acrossexisting projects and a reluctance to execute higher-risk capital investments.But this approach will eventually have to shift more toward an investment-ledstrategy across the industry, with the potential for acquisitive growth.”
EY said the autumn announcementthat Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE, TSX: ABX) will acquire Randgold Resources Ltd.(Nasdaq: GOLD) for $6.5 billion could influence other industry participants toaim at increased volume through mergers and acquisitions.
The EY report said that 74%global mining and metals executives say that they expect the M&A market toimprove in the next 12 months, up from 53% last year. Further, 52% say thattheir M&A pipeline will increase in the coming 12 months, compared with 34%a year ago. Sixty percent also expect to see an increase in the number ofcompleted deals, almost double last year’s response rate of 34%.
“While we have seen somecompanies looking toward measured growth through joint ventures and strategicpartnerships, and there has been a notable acceleration in battery metals dealsinto the second half of the year, deal-making has remained sluggish,” Downhamsaid. “The latest Capital Confidence Barometer indicates that caution could nowbe lifting, and 2019 may well see the sector enter a new phase, marked byacquisitive growth and bolder deal-making.”
By Allen SykoraFor Kitco News
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