Falling stocks depress U.S. dollar against other safe havens

By Kitco News / October 23, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell on Tuesday after Wall Street opened lower, spurring a risk-off move that benefited the safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc against the greenback.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI, the S&P 500 .SPX and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC were all around 2 percent lower at mid-morning, dragged down by disappointing earnings from industrial bellwethers Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N) and 3M (MMM.N).

“The stock market has everyone’s attention. The dollar/yen is moving almost tick-to-tick with stocks,” said David Gilmore, partner at FX Analytics.

Although the dollar is also considered a safe-haven currency, weakness in U.S. markets will nevertheless disadvantage the greenback against other safe havens. The dollar fell against the yen JPY= by 0.71 percent, last trading at 111.99 yen. Against the Swiss franc CHF= the dollar was down 8 basis points, last at 0.995 francs.

“Markets are starting to wonder if the good times generated from Trump’s tax cuts and deregulation are in the rear view mirror and what’s ahead is fallout from protectionist policies, and that has started to eat into corporate earnings,” said Gilmore.

The dollar index .DXY, a gauge of its value against six major currencies, fell 5 basis points to 95.976.

The euro fell after the European Commission rejected Italy’s 2019 budget and said it will ask Rome to present a new document within three weeks, according to reports from Italian news agency AGI, citing EU sources.

The dispute over Italy’s spending plans and doubts about the leadership of Britain’s prime minister, who is mired in a stalemate over Brexit, has investors focusing on the likelihood of further political turmoil in Europe.

Worries about Italy's spending have bred some doubt about the European Central Bank's plan to raise interest rates next summer, and that too has hurt the euro. The single currency was down 9 basis points, last at $1.145 EUR=.

Britain’s pound traded up in the European session before retracing those gains, last at $1.297 after falling precipitously on Monday over fears that the Northern Ireland border issue and disagreements within Britain’s ruling Conservatives over Brexit could cause Prime Minister Theresa May to face a serious leadership challenge.

“Whispers of a growing number of Tory MP rebels losing their patience with May have put the risks of a lengthy UK political impasse and a Brexit policy mistake (exiting the EU without a deal) back on the table,” said Viraj Patel, a currency strategist at ING.

“We think this noise is likely to keep the pound on the back foot this week,” he said.

Reporting by Tom Finn in London and Kate Duguid in New York; Editing by Dan Grebler

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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