A funny thing happened on the wayto new highs. On Thursday, gold looked like it was going to break out theupside and take out the highs on its way to $1,400. Suddenly without warning,the markets reversed and went from up $8 to down $14. This is known as a keyreversal, which is an indication that the top of this move is in.
With the dollar crashing,equities going parabolic for some reason at 1:16 p.m. EST on Thursday, golddecided that the move was over. The move lasted just over an hour, taking themetal from highs to lows. Although gold is showing lower on the board, it'srallying this morning; $1,360 is the level to watch.
Once again, the near-term topappears to be in, the dollar looks like it bottomed and the commercials areholding a record short position. Markets never announce themselves, but they dosend messages, and the message here is a pullback has a higher probability thana continuation of the rally.
By Todd 'Bubba' HorwitzContributing tokitco.com
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