LME WEEK ASIA 2018: Ali market vulnerable with inventory to dive in Q2 - Citi

By Alice Mason / May 16, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com / Article Link

Aluminium inventories are set to draw down during the second quarter of 2018, with prices expected to increase to $2,500 per tonne, Tracy Liao, strategist for industrial commodities at Citi Research, said.

Speaking during LME Week Asia, Liao explained that Chinese inventories have increased over 2 million tonnes since the start of 2017 but this year, as capacity expansion slows, inventories are expected to drop."The inventory built up on the back of a rapid smelting build-out and high utilization rates at operating smelters in anticipation of unlicensed capacity shutdown and winter cuts - but we expect these inventories to be worked down...

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