Oil steady; surprise U.S. crude build seen focused on West Coast

By Kitco News / May 02, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices were flat on Wednesday, with U.S. crude up slightly as the market shrugged off a surprise build in U.S. crude inventories because the move was largely concentrated on the U.S. West Coast.

Crude stockpiles posted a surprise build of 6.2 million barrels in the week, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. [EIA/S]. Nearly 5 million barrels were concentrated on the West Coast.

“That’s why the market isn’t reacting that much, because sometimes the West Coast numbers are erratic and usually when you get a big build in the West Coast, it’s followed with a big draw the next week," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. "The market is putting that in perspective," he said. At the same time, distillate demand was strong, he said, offsetting the downward pressure on crude. (GRAPHIC: Russia vs Saudi vs U.S. oil production: reut.rs/2KdnFtj)

Reuters Graphic

July Brent futures LCOc1 were down 29 cents at $72.84 a barrel by 11:06 EDT (1706 GMT), after falling nearly 3 percent on Tuesday to their lowest in two weeks.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 4 cents at $67.29, off session highs of $67.85.

“The major factor acting as a drag on long-term upside potential is the surge in U.S. shale supply. Concerns over the U.S. shale engine may have recently been put on the back burner but this reprieve is not expected to last,” PVM Oil Associates strategist Stephen Brennock said.

Iran, a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, re-emerged as a major oil exporter in January 2016 when some international sanctions against Tehran were lifted in return for curbs on Iran's nuclear program.(Iran's monthly crude oil export: reut.rs/2rkUD39)

Reuters Graphic

The United States has questioned Iran’s sincerity in implementing the nuclear curbs and President Donald Trump has threatened to reimpose sanctions if adjustments are not made to the agreement.

Iran’s oil exports hit 2.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in April, according to the Oil Ministry, a record since the lifting of sanctions. China and India bought more than half of the oil.

“The expectation that the U.S. will leave the sanctions waivers is leading Iran to sell as much as it can,” Petromatrix strategist Olivier Jakob said.

Trump will decide by May 12 whether to restore U.S. sanctions on Iran, which would likely reduce its oil exports.

“If Trump abandons the deal, he risks a spike in global oil prices,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noting that reintroducing U.S. sanctions could remove 300,000-500,000 bpd of Iranian oil from global supplies.

However, the rising value of the dollar since mid-April .DXY and soaring U.S. supplies have helped check further oil price gains, traders said.

Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Dale Hudson and David Gregorio

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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