Last week may have seen the peak of earnings season with the GAMMA companies (fka as FAAMG) reporting earnings that left quite a bit to be desired, but it gets even busier this week with the Fed's Wednesday taper announcement, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report and a slew of other events taking place in the coming five days.In addition to two very closely watched meetings from the RBA (Tue...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Nov 4, 2021Oct 29, 2021The message from uranium prices is that gold prices are headed higher.And I have no idea why this relationship works.Six years ago, I uncovered an interesting leading indication relationship, wherein the movements of uranium prices tend to show up again about 7 months later in the movements of gold prices.I cannot think of any reas...Read More
Initial jobless claims improved further last week with 'just' 269k Americans filing for first-time jobless benefits...Source: BloombergKentucky and California saw the biggest jump in jobless claims while Missouri and Florida saw the biggest drop...That leaves the total number of Americans on some form of government dole just above 2.6 million......the lowest since pre-pandemic-lockdown.....Read More
After two months of dismal job reports, the BLS finally redeemed itself when moments ago it reported that in October the US gained some 531K jobs, well above the 450K consensus exp and above the 500K whisper number. The gain in payrolls was also bigger than all but 10 of the 75 forecasts in Bloomberg's survey.As Bloomberg calculates, if payroll gains stay at the same pace as October's, in eight mo...Read More
Authored by Matthew Piepenburg via GoldSwitzerland.com,The facts of surreal yet broken (and hence increasingly controlled and desperate) financial markets are becoming harder to deny and ignore. Below, we look at the blunt evidence of control rather than the fork-tongued words of policy makers and ask a simple question: How long can lies & control supplant reality?The Great Disconnect: Tanki...Read More
The market's rate-hike expectations are surging higher this morning following the way hotter than expected CPI print. Additionally, perpelxing double-speak from Biden is not helping as he reflects on The Fed's "independence" while implying the need to 'do something about inflation!!!!':"And I want to reemphasize my commitment to the independence of the federal re...Read More
Following yesterday's US PPI print at record highs, overnight we saw Chinese producer prices rising at their fastest pace in 26 years, and this morning's US consumer price data was expected to show yet another non-transitory surge in inflation... but the actual surge was far bigger than expected.US Consumer prices soared 6.2% YoY in October, far higher than the +5.9% YoY expected and acc...Read More
Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times,Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who has repeatedly criticized loose central bank policies and has forcefully sounded the alarm on the upside risks of the current bout of inflation, has warned that global financial markets seem to be pricing in slow growth and low real interest rates for the next several years."The stimulus that we've enacted is...Read More
Kitco News, Released on Released on 11/12/21Bitcoin, stocks, and gold are all poised for major moves, but not all moves will be equal. Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist at InTheMoneyStocks.com discusses with David Lin, anchor for Kitco News, which of these assets are most likely to breakout to the upside.0:00 - Bitcoin12:29 - Stocks17:00 - Federal Reserve22:55 - GoldGareth Soloway is a profe...Read More
Authored by Bill Blain via MorningPorridge.com,Let's Dance: Buy the credentials - Forget Reality, Baitballs and Financial Ergot!"Where The Dance is, there you will find the Devil..."Despite Global uncertainty, rising inflation, and potential slowdown, markets remain Euphoric. All irrational markets eventually pop. How much longer can the current market mood be sustained? Longer than we think...One...Read More
By Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management; read this post after first reading "The Most Important Question For The Market Is Identifying The Driver Behind Record Low Negative Real Rates"Un-Orthodoxy"Rising inflation and growing government debt may not seem like the natural ingredients to lower longer-term real yields," explained Marcel, our Head of Research, our investment t...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Nov 17, 2021Nov 12, 2021The price of gold and the Japanese yen are fellow-travelers, correlating very strongly most of the time.Occasionally they disagree,and when they do that can be useful information. Because of this relationship, a sentiment indication that is useful for the yen can also be useful for gold prices.This week’s chart shows data fr...Read More
Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,Let's discuss leverage and where we are in the investment cycle.Despite huge stock market gains over the last decade, U.S. pensions are hundreds of billions of dollars short of what they expect to need to pay public worker retirement benefits.As a result of underperformance Retirement Fund Giant Calpers Votes to Use Leverage, More Alternative Assets...Read More
After unexpectedly tumbling in September, US housing starts and permits were expected to rebound modestly in October, but the picture was more mixed than hoped for.US housing starts unexpectedly fell for the second straight month (-0.7% MoM vs +1.5% MoM exp) but US building permits rose more than expected (+4.0% MoM vs +2.8%) from the downward revised 7.8% MoM slump in September)...Source: Bloombe...Read More
Too much of a good thing...STIRs are continuing their hawkish trend, with the market now pricing a 19% chance of a rate-hike as soon as March 2022...US Treasury yields are on the rise again this morning, with 30Y yields breaking out to one-month highs...and it appears that surge in yields is sparking some anxiety in equity markets (led by value-heavy Small Caps)...Gold is higher this morning amid...Read More
Rich Dad, Released on Released on 11/17/21In July 2021 democrats agreed on 3.5 trillion-dollar domestic spending plans, highlighting considerable spending to fight climate change. Today's guest says this little-known commodity, carbon credits, will help all corporations reduce their carbon emissions and make money.Marin Katusa, author of "The Rise of America" says, "This will be the most important...Read More
Mohamed A. El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge University, and Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, the corporate parent of PIMCO, where he previously served as CEO and co-CIO, argues in the following interview with Goldman Sachs' Allison Nathan that the Fed could be heading towards an historic monetary policy mistake by reacting too slowly to rising inflationary pressures.Allison...Read More
Jay Taylor Media, Released on Released on 11/17/21Alasdair Macleod-explains why the only form of protection against the increasingly likely collapse of fiat money will be physical gold and silver and not currency.Alasdair Macleod is head of research for GoldMoney. Alasdair has been a celebrated stockbroker and Member of the London Stock Exchange for over four decades. His experience encompasses eq...Read More
Kitco News, Released on Released on 10/13/22 (Recorded on 10/12/22)*Interview recorded on October 12, 2022Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at InTheMoneyStocks.com, discusses his macroeconomic outlook, whether the Fed will pivot, and how stocks, Bitcoin, and gold will fare. He spoke with David Lin, Anchor and Producer at Kitco News, at the Future Blockchain Summit in Dubai. 0:00 - Macroecono...Read More
Goko Group, Released on Released on 10/18/22Robert Kiyosaki shares a pearl of wisdom by revealing what he thinks people should invest in today.Robert Kiyosaki is best known as the author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, the #1 personal finance book of all time. His book titles hold four of the top ten spots on Nielsen Bookscan List's Life-to-Date Sales from 2001-2008 alone. Robert is an educational Entrepren...Read More