Tech Talk for Tuesday July 30th 2019

July 30, 2019 / www.timingthemarket.ca / Article Link

U.S. equity index futures moved lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 12 points in pre-opening trade.

Index futures were virtually unchanged following release of economic news at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus for June Personal Spending was an increase of 0.3% versus a gain of 0.4% in May. Actual was an increase of 0.3%. Consensus for June Personal Income was an increase of 0.4% versus a revised gain of 0.4% in May. Actual was an increase of 0.4%.

Nutrien (NTR $66.55 Cdn) is expected to open lower after the company lowered its guidance.

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Procter & Gamble (PG $116.00) is expected to open higher after reporting higher than consensus quarterly results.

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Merck added $2.77 to $85.26 after reporting higher than consensus second quarter earnings.

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Capital One plunged $4.52 to $92.40 after the company reported a data breach.

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EquityClock's Daily Market Comment

Following is a link:

http://www.equityclock.com/2019/07/29/stock-market-outlook-for-july-30-2019/

Note seasonality chart on MSCI World ex U.S. Index

Upcoming BNN Appearance:

Jon Vialoux will be on BNN's Market Call Tonight at 6:00pm ET on Wednesday, July 31st taking your calls on Technical Analysis and Seasonal Investing.  CALL TOLL-FREE 1-855-326-6266,  EMAIL marketcall@bnnbloomberg.ca,  or TWEET @MarketCall.

Observations

Traders are pessimistic about impact of Brexit on the U.K. economy.

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Surprising strength in frontier equity markets!

 

StockTwits released yesterday @EquityClock

Walt Disney$DIS, a Dow Jones Industrial stock moved above $145.43 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend. Response to strong Lion King sales for the second consecutive week.

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Alexion Pharm $ALXN, a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $112.86 extending an intermediate downtrend.

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Mylan $MYL moved above $19.78 setting an intermediate uptrend. The company is merging its generic drug business with Pfizer’s Upjohn business

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Pfizer $PFE, a Dow Jones Industrial stock moved below $42.01 setting an intermediate downtrend. Responding to news of a merger of off patent drugs business with Mylan

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PayPal $PYPL, a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $113.08 completing a double top pattern

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Auto ETF $CARZ moved below $32.55 setting an intermediate downtrend

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NetApp $NTAP, a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $57.66 extending an intermediate downtrend

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Natural Gas ETN $UNG moved below $18.34 extending an intermediate downtrend.

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Canadian "gassy" stocks are responding to lower natural gas prices. ARC Resources and Encana break to new lows. $ARX.CA $ECA

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Lower natural gas prices have prompted the BMO Equal Weight Canadian Energy ETF $ZEO.CA to move below $40.99 extending an intermediate downtrend

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Editor's Note: U.S. Oil and Gas Exploration ETF also broke to a three year lows.

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Metro $MRU.CA, a TSX 60 stock moved above $51.64 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend

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Trader's Corner

Note changes in Seasonal ratings

Equity Indices and related ETFs

Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for July 29th 2019

spx july 30

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Commodities

Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for July 29th 2019

crb july30

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Sectors

Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for July 29th 2019

xlk july 30

Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

Don Vialoux on "Wolf on Bay Street"

Released on Saturday. Interviews with Tony Dwyer and Don Vialoux. Don Vialoux' comments are in the second half of the interview. Tony and Don's comments are remarkably similar: Both predict increased volatility and a mild correction into Fall followed by resumption of an upward trend late this year. Following is a link:

https://omny.fm/shows/640-toronto/the-wolf-on-bay-street-wolfgang-klein-saturday-j-7?in_playlist=640-toronto!hifi-radio-with-the-wolf-on-bay-street-wolfgang-kl

 

Technical Scoop

Thank you to David Chapman and www.enrichinvesting.com for the link to their weekly report

http://enrichedinvesting.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Weakening-economic-environment-note-fund-spread-central-bank-assets-market-top-gold-temporary-top.pdf

 

S&P 500 Momentum Barometer

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The Barometer slipped 2.20 to 76.00 yesterday. It remains intermediate overbought and continues to show early signs of rolling over.

 

TSX Momentum Barometer

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The Barometer was unchanged at 61.64 yesterday. It remains intermediate overbought.

 

Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed

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