Tech Talk for Wednesday July 14th 2021

July 14, 2021 / www.timingthemarket.ca / Article Link

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 12 points in pre-opening trade. Index futures were quiet prior to testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell before the House Financial Committee this morning.

Index futures moved higher following release the U.S. June Producer Price Index at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus was an increase of 0.6% versus a gain of 0.7% in May. Actual was an increase of 1.0%. Excluding food and energy, consensus for the U.S. Producer Price Index was an increase of 0.5% versus a gain of 0.7% in May. Actual was an increase of 1.0%

The Canadian Dollar was virtually unchanged at US80.15 prior to release of Bank of Canada's monetary update at 10:00 AM EDT. Consensus is that the overnight lending rate for major Canadian banks will remain unchanged at 0.25%.

Apple advanced $1.04 to $154.54 after JP Morgan added the stock to its Focus List. Target was increased from $170 to $175.

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American Airlines added $0.37 to $20.39 after reporting a lower than consensus second quarter loss. B. Riley raised its target price on the stock from $15 to $21.

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Bank of America slipped $0.86 to $39.00 despite reporting higher than consensus second quarter earnings. Second quarter revenues were lower than consensus.

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EquityClock's Daily Comment

Following is a link:

http://www.equityclock.com/2021/07/13/stock-market-outlook-for-july-14-2021/

 

Technical Notes released yesterday at

StockTwits.com@EquityClock

Buying demand in the health care sector is starting to materialize. Find out which health care industry has been upgraded in our weekly chart books. equityclock.com/2021/07/12/… $XLV $IHI $XHE $XPH $IHF $VHT

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South Africa iShares $EZA moved below $47.83 completing a Head & Shoulders pattern

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T Mobile $TMUS a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $148.70 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.

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Early Warning Signs for U.S.Traders

Responses to second quarter reports released yesterday were mixed at best.

Pepsico rose sharply after reporting blow out second quarter revenues and earnings.

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Goldman Sachs opened higher, but came under "sell on news" pressures after reporting blow out second quarter revenues and earnings.

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JP Morgan came under "sell on news" pressures after releasing blow out second quarter earnings, but lower than consensus revenues.

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Conagra dropped significantly after reporting slightly lower than consensus second quarter revenues and earnings.

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Quarterly reports today by Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Citigroup, and PNC Financial will be watched closely for possible "sell on news" responses.

After the close, Canaccord Genuity's chief market strategist Tony Dwyer discussed on CNBC "a summer of indigestion" for U.S. equities followed by a recovery in the fourth quarter.

 

Trader's Corner

Equity Indices and Related ETFs

Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for July 13th 2021

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Commodities

Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for July 13th 2021

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

 

Sectors

Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for July 13th 2021

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Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day

All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index

The timely $500 million dollar tax refund announced yesterday

The IRS announced Tuesday it is refunding about 4 million people who overpaid their 2020 unemployment insurance (UI) taxes in 2020.

Taxpayers can expect refunds in the coming days: They will be direct deposited to some recipients' bank accounts on Wednesday, July 14, and paper checks will start being mailed Friday, July 16. Taxpayers can expect to receive a refund of $1,265, on average.

The American Rescue Plan (ARP), signed by President Joe Biden in March, excluded up to $10,200 in 2020 unemployment compensation from many recipients' taxable income. Because many people filed their tax returns before it was signed into law, the IRS is now refunding those who overpaid.

 

S&P 500 Momentum Barometers

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The intermediate term Barometer dropped 6.81 to 49.90 yesterday. It remains Neutral.

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The long term Barometer slipped 1.80 to 90.58 yesterday. It remains Extremely Overbought.

 

TSX Momentum Barometers

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The intermediate Barometer slipped 1.18 to 59.09 yesterday. It changed from Overbought to Neutral on a drop below 60.00.

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The long term Barometer added 0.11 to 76.82 yesterday. It remains Overbought.

Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at

www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed


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