From a trader's standpoint, thereis no worse pattern than the consolidation or congestion pattern. The patternstands for the greatest time of uncertainty. The bulls get excited and pushmarkets up to a certain point, and bears show up with new money and sell. Themarkets make a series of double tops and double bottoms and go nowhere.
Gold is in that exact pattern. Ithas been consolidating since the beginning of the year. Gold has been stuckbetween $1,300 and $1,365. Every time it looks like gold is going lower, buyersstep in and push it back up. The same holds true for the rallies. They reachthe top end and fail -- the torture of congestion.
Within the congestion pattern,gold has made lower highs but still has been able to hold support. However,there are many concerns with this pattern. The weaker dollar has not helpedgold, and the weaker markets have not helped gold. The metal will break out toone side or the other. Based on the information we have today, indications arelower first. Of course, this is the torture of congestion.
By Todd 'Bubba' HorwitzContributing tokitco.com
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