U.S. Inflation Expectations Rise: New York Fed Survey

By Kitco News / March 12, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. inflation expectations edged higher last month, with one measure hitting its highest level in a year, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday that adds to signs of price pressures.

The survey of consumer expectations, which the Fed considers among other data as it continues to gradually raise interest rates, showed median one-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.83 percent from 2.71 percent in January, the highest reading since February 2017.

The three-year measure was 2.88 percent in February, up from 2.79 the month before. (For a graphic of inflation expectations since 2013, click: tmsnrt.rs/2DlOEOr)

Both measures have edged higher this year, making up ground after years in which the gauges, taken since mid-2013, have generally slipped.

The U.S. central bank raised rates three times last year and is expected to hike again next week, in a nod to fiscal stimulus, hot employment, and overall data suggesting prices are rising after more than five years below a 2-percent Fed target.

The New York Fed survey, in which a third party taps a rotating panel of about 1,200 household heads, found last month’s rise was driven by higher-educated respondents. Their uncertainty around the inflation expectations were the lowest recorded.

Reporting by Jonathan Spicer; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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