UK inflation expectations highest since 2008 before BoE rate decision - Citi/YouGov

By Kitco News / October 26, 2021 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

(Adds details and background)

LONDON, Oct 26 (Reuters) - The British public's expectations for inflation over the next year jumped to the highest since 2008 this month, bank Citi said on Tuesday, something the Bank of England will note as it meets to decide whether to raise interest rates next week.

Expectations for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 4.4% in October from 4.1% in September, Citi said, based on its monthly survey with pollsters YouGov, conducted on Oct. 21 and Oct. 22.

But expectations for inflation in five to 10 years' time dipped to 3.7% from 3.8% in September.

Inflation in many countries is on the rise as the global economy reopens from its coronavirus shutdowns.

The BoE's chief economist, Huw Pill, said last week he thought consumer price inflation in Britain could go above 5%, more than double the BoE's 2% target, before falling back.

Economists at Citi said the BoE looked at a broad range of indicators when assessing inflation expectation risks and Tuesday's survey reading on its own was unlikely to increase the pressure for a near-term rate hike.

"However, it is also unlikely to trigger a major dovish re-assessment either - especially with financial market measures continuing to increase," they said.

Investors are pricing in a rate hike by the BoE on Nov. 4 which would take Bank Rate to 0.25% from its current all-time low of 0.1%. Most economists polled by Reuters think the BoE will wait until early 2022 before moving. (Writing by William Schomberg; editing by David Milliken)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Recent News

Several new entrants to TSXV large gold, including producer Asante

November 24, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks down on metal decline, equity market slide

November 24, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Largest gold producers see strong Q3/25 earnings

November 17, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks jump on gain in metal price

November 17, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com

AOCE and WB boost gold targets for 2025 significantly

November 10, 2025 / www.canadianminingreport.com
See all >
Share to Youtube Share to Facebook Facebook Share to Linkedin Share to Twitter Twitter Share to Tiktok