UPDATE 2-Sterling up over 1% as traders see hope of avoiding cliff-edge Brexit

By Kitco News / September 28, 2020 / www.kitco.com / Article Link


* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020
* Graphic: Trade-weighted sterling since Brexit vote (Adds latest news and updates prices)By Olga CotagaLONDON, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The British pound rose more than1% on Monday on hopes that Britain could secure a Brexit tradedeal with the European Union by October or at least avoid acliff-edge exit from the bloc.The EU and Britain kicked off a decisive week of talks onMonday but cautioned that a deal was still some way off.A final agreement must be reached by the end of December butboth sides have set a preliminary deadline for next month as itwill take some time to sign off any deal.The pound's gains were fuelled by an EU diplomat saying lastweek that "the mood music was a bit better" after Britain'sBrexit supremo Michael Gove expressed confidence about securinga trade deal. "If discussions this week lead to a break through infisheries and a level playing field then we could hopefully landan agreement by Oct. 15," Kenneth Broux, head of corporate FX atSociete Generale, said.The Bank of England Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden's commentson Monday saying he thought the floor for the central bank's keyinterest rate was 0.1% could also have helped the pound, but hisviews were already known in the media, Broux said. "We have a good starting week for risk assets, we've gotsome cautious optimism on Brexit and we've got month-end andquarter-end so we have to be very mindful of all these factorscoming together," he added.Sterling was trading 1% higher at $1.2863 by 1500GMT, having earlier risen to a one-week high of $1.2930. It wasalso 0.7% higher versus the euro at 90.61 pence, after hitting a20-day peak of 90.26 .


WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT


Latest CFTC data showed that hedge funds held a small amountof sterling short positions in the week to Sept. 22 . "There's hope that, no matter what, they will avoid theextremes and even if there is no deal, they will make sure thatwe don't get any disruptions in the market," said AthanasiosVamvakidis, global head of G10 FX strategy at BAML.The UK's Internal Market Bill had raised worries thatBritain was on course to override the Withdrawal Agreementsigned last year which protected the border between Ireland andNorthern Ireland, an issue at the heart of last year's Brexitnegotiations."It seems that the UK government ... have indicated thatthey will avoid violating the Withdrawal Agreement so this wasone positive," Vamvakidis said.Gove said Monday the clauses of the Internal Market Billthat undercut the Withdrawal Treaty would remain but the EUindicated it would not leave the negotiating table.As the British government mulls tougher restrictions totackle the swiftly accelerating second wave of the coronavirusoutbreak, the recession induced by the pandemic has marketwatchers questioning whether Britain will cut its interest ratebelow zero. However, for now money markets do not price in aprobability of a rate cut at the next November meeting. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^sterling sept 28 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Olga Cotaga; Editing by Alison Williams, KirstenDonovan)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Recent News

Monetary-driven precious metals outperform major base metals

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks hit by plunging equities markets

September 09, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Gold stocks down as metal and equities momentum fades

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Another Kazatomprom guidance announcement shakes uranium price

September 02, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com

Major monetary drivers still supporting gold

August 26, 2024 / www.canadianminingreport.com
See all >
Share to Youtube Share to Facebook Facebook Share to Linkedin Share to Twitter Twitter Share to Tiktok